Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Quevilly vs Concarneau

France France

Ligue 3 Stade Robert Diochon, Rouen
Our Tip

Match Events

18'
Macon B.
21' Event
Rosa R.
30'
Gazzaoui Y.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Ligue 3 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Quevilly
30%
Draws
47%
Concarneau
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Concarneau

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Concarneau lately — more wins on the board than Quevilly.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Ligue 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Quevilly Clean Sheet 16%
Concarneau Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Quevilly Concarneau
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 7 8
Draws 9 13
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1 1.19
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 14, 2026 Ligue 3
Quevilly vs Concarneau
1:1
Feb 12, 2026 Ligue 3
Quevilly vs Concarneau
2:1
Sep 5, 2025 Ligue 3
Concarneau vs Quevilly
3:1
Apr 25, 2025 Ligue 3
Concarneau vs Quevilly
5:1
Dec 14, 2024 Ligue 3
Quevilly vs Concarneau
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Quevilly Compare

Top Goalscorer Rosa R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Concarneau Compare

Top Goalscorer Janno S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Quevilly 36 / 100
Concarneau 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Quevilly Concarneau

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Concarneau Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Concarneau's defensive record shows goals conceded in 65% of 31 matches.

Recent resilience: Quevilly stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Quevilly scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Quevilly VS Concarneau
0.88 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Quevilly

(Home)
20 Aug
Rouen
3 : 0
Quevilly
14 Aug
Quevilly
1 : 1
Concarneau
07 Aug
Paris 13 Atletico
1 : 0
Quevilly
31 Jul
Quevilly
2 : 0
CMS Oissel
25 Jul
Quevilly
1 : 1
Avranches
Page 1 of 6

Concarneau

(Away)
20 Aug
Concarneau
2 : 0
Villefranche
14 Aug
Quevilly
1 : 1
Concarneau
07 Aug
Concarneau
0 : 2
Orleans
31 Jul
Concarneau
5 : 1
Pontivy
25 Jul
Laval
1 : 2
Concarneau
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Thionville 3 3 0 0 9:3 9
2 Rouen 3 2 1 0 5:1 7
3 La Roche Vendee 3 2 1 0 5:3 7
4 Versailles 3 2 0 1 6:5 6
5 Le Puy-en-Velay 3 2 0 1 3:1 6
6 Bastia 4 2 0 2 4:5 6
7 Orleans 3 2 0 1 5:2 6
8 Paris 13 Atletico 3 2 0 1 3:3 6
9 Caen 4 2 0 2 8:5 6
10 Concarneau 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
11 Cannes 3 0 3 0 2:2 3
12 Villefranche 3 1 0 2 4:5 3
13 Valenciennes 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
14 Bourg Peronnas 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
15 Fleury-Merogis 3 0 2 1 1:3 2
16 Amiens SC 3 0 1 2 0:2 1
17 Quevilly 3 0 1 2 1:5 1
18 Aubagne FC 3 0 0 3 0:5 0
Promotion - Ligue 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Relegation)