Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Quevilly vs Valenciennes

France France

National 2025/2026 Stade Robert Diochon, Rouen
Our Tip

Match Events

18'
Traore B.
27' Event
Leborgne J.
(Penalty)
44' Event
Sylva K.
Assist: Mandengue R.

AI Match Summary

Quevilly in this National 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Quevilly.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Quevilly
35%
Draws
23%
Valenciennes
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Quevilly

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Valenciennes lately — more wins on the board than Quevilly.
  • Quevilly are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular National 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Quevilly Clean Sheet 68%
Valenciennes Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Quevilly Valenciennes
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 10
Draws 11 8
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.14 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2026 Ligue 3
Quevilly vs Valenciennes
3:2
Oct 31, 2025 Ligue 3
Valenciennes vs Quevilly
2:0
Jul 12, 2025 Club Friendly
Valenciennes vs Quevilly
1:0
Apr 11, 2025 Ligue 3
Valenciennes vs Quevilly
0:0
Nov 22, 2024 Ligue 3
Quevilly vs Valenciennes
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Quevilly Compare

Top Goalscorer Sylva K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ndiaye J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Valenciennes Compare

Top Goalscorer Passi B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Courtet G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Quevilly 59 / 100
Valenciennes 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Quevilly Valenciennes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Quevilly Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Quevilly went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Quevilly's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Valenciennes has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Quevilly VS Valenciennes
1 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Quevilly

(Home)
26 Sept
Quevilly
1 : 1
Amiens SC
19 Sept
Versailles
0 : 0
Quevilly
12 Sept
Quevilly
2 : 1
Le Puy-en-Velay
05 Sept
La Roche Vendee
1 : 1
Quevilly
29 Aug
Quevilly
2 : 1
Fleury-Merogis
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Valenciennes

(Away)
26 Sept
Valenciennes
2 : 1
Le Puy-en-Velay
19 Sept
La Roche Vendee
3 : 2
Valenciennes
12 Sept
Valenciennes
1 : 2
Fleury-Merogis
03 Sept
Rouen
1 : 1
Valenciennes
29 Aug
Valenciennes
0 : 0
Concarneau
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dijon 32 18 11 3 52:25 65
2 Sochaux 32 16 10 6 51:26 58
3 Rouen 32 14 13 5 43:29 55
4 Fleury-Merogis 32 15 9 8 47:30 54
5 Versailles 32 15 8 9 46:34 53
6 Orleans 32 14 9 9 42:42 51
7 Le Puy-en-Velay 32 12 11 9 45:38 47
8 Caen 32 8 16 8 39:34 40
9 Concarneau 32 8 14 10 32:37 38
10 Valenciennes 32 10 8 14 35:44 37
11 Aubagne FC 32 9 10 13 38:46 37
12 Villefranche 32 10 7 15 34:45 37
13 Quevilly 32 8 9 15 34:45 33
14 Paris 13 Atletico 32 7 11 14 26:41 32
15 Bourg Peronnas 32 8 7 17 25:44 31
16 Chateauroux 32 6 13 13 35:49 30
17 Stade Briochin 32 5 12 15 35:50 27
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)