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Quilmes 2 vs Atl. Rafaela 2

Argentina Argentina

Reserve League
Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
54' Event
69' Event

AI Match Summary

The Reserve League game between Quilmes 2 and Atl. Rafaela 2 finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Quilmes 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Quilmes 2
6%
Draws
4%
Atl. Rafaela 2
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Quilmes 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Quilmes 2 come out ahead of Atl. Rafaela 2 on wins alone.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Quilmes 2 taking it.
  • Regular Reserve League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Quilmes 2 Clean Sheet 68%
Atl. Rafaela 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Quilmes 2 Atl. Rafaela 2
Matches Played 19 19
Wins 11 4
Draws 3 3
Losses 5 12
Goals Scored 1.25 1
Goals Conceded 1.13 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 17, 2026 Reserve League
Quilmes 2 vs Atl. Rafaela 2
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Quilmes 2 95 / 100
Atl. Rafaela 2 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Quilmes 2 Atl. Rafaela 2

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick QUI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atl. Rafaela 2's defensive record shows goals conceded in 84% of 19 matches.

Quilmes 2 scored in 63% of their last 19 games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Quilmes 2 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Quilmes 2 VS Atl. Rafaela 2
1.25 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Velez Sarsfield 218142240:1144
2River Plate 21894524:1731
3Racing Club 21886427:2330
4Atl. Tucuman 21893626:2530
5Union de Santa Fe 21878323:1929
6Argentinos Jrs 21877424:1828
7Talleres Cordoba 21875627:2126
8Rosario Central 21875625:2226
9Instituto 21859420:2124
10San Lorenzo 21866622:2424
11Gimnasia L.P. 21865719:1723
12Gimnasia Mendoza 21865716:1923
13Banfield 21865714:1823
14Aldosivi 218531017:2818
15Barracas Central 21845911:2417
16Sarmiento Junin 218441016:2616
17Tigre 218441015:2516
18Godoy Cruz 218431120:3015
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Boca Juniors 218113433:1136
2Independiente 218113436:1636
3Lanus 218112539:2435
4Newells Old Boys 218104426:1634
5Quilmes 218103520:1233
6Defensa y Justicia 21895438:2432
7Estudiantes L.P. 21884625:1628
8CA Belgrano de Cordoba 21883727:2927
9Huracan 21875623:1726
10Platense 21875617:2026
11Deportivo Riestra 21874725:1825
12Ind. Rivadavia 21873823:2324
13Ferro 21864820:2322
14Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero) 21854921:3319
15Colon Santa Fe 218531015:2318
16Atl. Rafaela 218331221:3612
17Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 21825119:3211
18San Martin S.J. 218221416:598