Sport Picks
Match Events
12'
12'
Lavezzi A.
Assist: Martinez R.
15'
15'
Salas J.
26'
26'
Ortega T.
AI Match Summary
The Primera Nacional game between Quilmes and Patronato finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Quilmes.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
30%
34%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Quilmes
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
66%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Quilmes come out ahead of Patronato on wins alone.
- Model gives Quilmes a 36% chance of winning this.
- Regular Primera Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 16%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.4%
Quilmes Clean Sheet 68%
Patronato Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Quilmes | Patronato |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 6 | 5 |
| Draws | 11 | 14 |
| Losses | 11 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 0.75 | 0.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.75 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.75 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.75 | 0.75 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 14, 2026 Primera Nacional
Quilmes vs Patronato
3:0
Sep 14, 2025 Primera Nacional
Patronato vs Quilmes
1:0
May 10, 2025 Primera Nacional
Quilmes vs Patronato
1:1
Sep 9, 2024 Primera Nacional
Patronato vs Quilmes
1:1
Apr 23, 2024 Primera Nacional
Quilmes vs Patronato
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Quilmes Compare
Top Goalscorer Lavezzi A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Dominguez A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38
Patronato Compare
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Quilmes 46 / 100
Patronato 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Quilmes Patronato
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 2.40 goals.
Attacking prowess: Quilmes scored in 39% of their last 28 outings.
Patronato has conceded goals in 55% of their last 29 outings.
Quilmes has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Quilmes VS Patronato
0.75 Goals Scored 0.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
38% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Quilmes
(Home) 26 Jul
Quilmes
0 : 1 Colegiales
12 Jul
Midland
1 : 0 Quilmes
04 Jul
Quilmes
2 : 1 Atletico Atlanta
20 Jun
Colegiales
3 : 1 Quilmes
13 Jun
Quilmes
1 : 0 Gimnasia y Tiro
Page 1 of 6
26 Jul
Quilmes
0 : 1 Colegiales
04 Jul
Quilmes
2 : 1 Atletico Atlanta
13 Jun
Quilmes
1 : 0 Gimnasia y Tiro
31 May
Quilmes
2 : 0 Atl. Rafaela
17 May
Quilmes
0 : 1 Tristan Suarez
Page 1 of 3
Patronato
(Away) 26 Jul
Midland
1 : 0 Patronato
12 Jul
Gimnasia y Tiro
1 : 1 Patronato
05 Jul
Patronato
0 : 1 San Martin T.
21 Jun
Patronato
1 : 1 Midland
14 Jun
Patronato
0 : 0 Atl. Rafaela
Page 1 of 6
26 Jul
Midland
1 : 0 Patronato
12 Jul
Gimnasia y Tiro
1 : 1 Patronato
07 Jun
Agropecuario
1 : 1 Patronato
24 May
Club Atletico Guemes
1 : 0 Patronato
09 May
San Martin S.J.
1 : 1 Patronato
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ferro | 22 | 13 | 4 | 5 | 25:18 | 43 |
| 2 | Deportivo Moron | 21 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 33:19 | 38 |
| 3 | Colon Santa Fe | 22 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 27:18 | 35 |
| 4 | Ciudad Bolivar | 22 | 8 | 10 | 4 | 21:17 | 34 |
| 5 | Los Andes | 21 | 8 | 9 | 4 | 19:8 | 33 |
| 6 | Almirante Brown | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 15:13 | 32 |
| 7 | Godoy Cruz | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 22:18 | 31 |
| 8 | CA Estudiantes | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 19:18 | 31 |
| 9 | Deportivo Madryn | 21 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 27:22 | 30 |
| 10 | Racing Cordoba | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 22:26 | 27 |
| 11 | San Miguel | 21 | 5 | 11 | 5 | 17:21 | 26 |
| 12 | Defensores de Belgrano | 21 | 5 | 9 | 7 | 14:18 | 24 |
| 13 | All Boys | 22 | 4 | 11 | 7 | 13:20 | 23 |
| 14 | CA Mitre | 22 | 4 | 10 | 8 | 20:27 | 22 |
| 15 | San Telmo | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 17:23 | 20 |
| 16 | Acassuso | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 15:23 | 20 |
| 17 | Chaco For Ever | 21 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 18:26 | 19 |
| 18 | Central Norte | 21 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 13:23 | 19 |
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 21 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 34:23 | 41 |
| 2 | Temperley | 22 | 9 | 10 | 3 | 23:18 | 37 |
| 3 | Atletico Atlanta | 21 | 11 | 3 | 7 | 26:18 | 36 |
| 4 | Tristan Suarez | 21 | 9 | 9 | 3 | 18:11 | 36 |
| 5 | Midland | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 22:15 | 33 |
| 6 | San Martin T. | 22 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 20:17 | 30 |
| 7 | Atl. Rafaela | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 16:18 | 30 |
| 8 | Deportivo Maipu | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 27:22 | 29 |
| 9 | Gimnasia y Tiro | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 20:21 | 28 |
| 10 | Almagro | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 19:23 | 28 |
| 11 | San Martin S.J. | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 21:21 | 26 |
| 12 | Colegiales | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 19:20 | 26 |
| 13 | Nueva Chicago | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 18:19 | 26 |
| 14 | Quilmes | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 18:17 | 24 |
| 15 | Chacarita Juniors | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 16:22 | 23 |
| 16 | Agropecuario | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 17:26 | 23 |
| 17 | Patronato | 21 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 13:18 | 22 |
| 18 | Club Atletico Guemes | 21 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 19:36 | 19 |
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
