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Quimper Stade vs Pontivy - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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CFA - Group D 2009/2010
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The CFA - Group D 2009/2010 game between Quimper Stade and Pontivy finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Quimper Stade.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Quimper Stade
30%
Draws
23%
Pontivy
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Quimper Stade

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Pontivy come out ahead of Quimper Stade on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Quimper Stade's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular CFA - Group D 2009/2010 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Quimper Stade Clean Sheet 17%
Pontivy Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Quimper Stade Pontivy
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 5 9
Draws 10 7
Losses 15 16
Goals Scored 0.73 1.16
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.79 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 24, 2010 National 2 - Group D
Quimper Stade vs Pontivy
3:1
Nov 14, 2009 National 2 - Group D
Pontivy vs Quimper Stade
1:1
Feb 7, 2009 National 2 - Group D
Quimper Stade vs Pontivy
2:0
Aug 23, 2008 National 2 - Group D
Pontivy vs Quimper Stade
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Quimper Stade 48 / 100
Pontivy 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Quimper Stade Pontivy

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Quimper Stade Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Pontivy conceded in 75% of 32 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Pontivy has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Quimper Stade's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Pontivy
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 2.38
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Quimper Stade

(Home)
29 May
Orleans
0 : 2
Quimper Stade
22 May
Quimper Stade
0 : 1
Carquefou
15 May
Senart-Moissy
3 : 0
Quimper Stade
08 May
Quimper Stade
1 : 1
Romorantin
01 May
Cherbourg
2 : 0
Quimper Stade
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Pontivy

(Away)
03 Oct
Pontivy
0 : 1
Angouleme CFC
19 Sept
Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant
2 : 2
Pontivy
12 Sept
Pontivy
0 : 3
Lorient II
05 Sept
Saumur Olympique
2 : 1
Pontivy
29 Aug
Pontivy
1 : 1
Granville
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Orleans 34 19 12 3 43:21 103
2 La Vitreenne 34 17 10 7 49:33 95
3 Le Havre II 34 15 14 5 59:39 93
4 Cherbourg 34 17 8 9 45:33 93
5 Racing Club de France 34 13 11 10 46:36 84
6 Quevilly 34 13 9 12 52:46 82
7 Viry-Chatillon 34 13 8 13 50:58 81
8 Romorantin 34 12 11 11 59:57 81
9 Ivry 34 12 10 12 40:37 80
10 Senart-Moissy 34 11 12 11 49:47 79
11 Carquefou 34 12 9 13 37:42 79
12 Auxerre II 34 12 8 14 47:44 78
13 Rennes II 34 11 9 14 33:41 76
14 Avranches 34 11 8 15 37:44 75
15 Caen II 34 9 12 13 46:45 73
16 Mantes 34 10 7 17 35:49 71
17 Quimper Stade 34 5 10 19 23:57 59
18 Pontivy 34 5 10 19 36:57 59
Promotion - National 2010/2011 (Main)