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Quindio vs Envigado Prediction & H2H Stats

Colombia Colombia

Primera B Estadio Centenario, Armenia
Our Tip

Match Events

14'
Sub
Lloreda J. In: Chala J.
Out: Lloreda J.
18' Event
Carabali R. A. F.
22' Event
Hernandez J.

AI Match Summary

The Primera B game between Quindio and Envigado finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Quindio.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Quindio
35%
Draws
35%
Envigado
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Envigado carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Envigado a 35% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Primera B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Quindio Clean Sheet 28%
Envigado Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Quindio Envigado
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 11 12
Draws 8 8
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1 1.29
Goals Conceded 0.86 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 Primera B
Quindio vs Envigado
1:0
May 18, 2026 Primera B
Envigado vs Quindio
1:0
Apr 25, 2026 Primera B
Quindio vs Envigado
2:1
Feb 24, 2026 Primera B
Envigado vs Quindio
1:2
Apr 26, 2024 Copa Colombia
Quindio vs Envigado
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Quindio Compare

Top Goalscorer Carabali R. A. F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ibarguen J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Envigado Compare

Top Goalscorer Hernandez J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Quindio 30 / 100
Envigado 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Quindio Envigado

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Envigado Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Quindio scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Envigado let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Quindio stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Quindio VS Envigado
0.75 Goals Scored 0.88
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Quindio

(Home)
28 Sept
Quindio
1 : 0
Bogota
21 Sept
Real Cundinamarca
3 : 1
Quindio
13 Sept
Quindio
1 : 2
Patriotas
09 Sept
Independiente Valle del Cauca
0 : 0
Quindio
05 Sept
Quindio
0 : 0
Real Santander
Page 1 of 6

Envigado

(Away)
27 Sept
Envigado
3 : 0
Atletico F.C.
22 Sept
Cartagena
0 : 0
Envigado
12 Sept
Envigado
1 : 1
Leones
06 Sept
Boca Juniors de Cali
2 : 2
Envigado
01 Sept
Envigado
0 : 1
Union Magdalena
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Envigado 6 3 2 1 6:3 11
2 Quindio 6 3 1 2 4:3 10
3 Inter Palmira 6 1 4 1 3:3 7
4 Tigres Futbol Club 6 1 1 4 4:8 4
Promotion - Primera B (Apertura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cartagena 6 4 1 1 8:6 13
2 Union Magdalena 6 2 3 1 8:4 9
3 Barranquilla 6 1 3 2 5:6 6
4 Bogota 6 0 3 3 3:8 3
Promotion - Primera B (Apertura - Play Offs)