Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Quindio vs Envigado

Colombia Colombia

Primera B Estadio Centenario, Armenia
Our Tip

Match Events

14'
Sub
Lloreda J. In: Chala J.
Out: Lloreda J.
18' Event
Carabali R. A. F.
22' Event
Hernandez J.

AI Match Summary

The Primera B game between Quindio and Envigado finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Quindio.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Quindio
35%
Draws
32%
Envigado
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Quindio carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Quindio a 33% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Primera B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Quindio Clean Sheet 68%
Envigado Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Quindio Envigado
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 16 15
Draws 8 6
Losses 6 7
Goals Scored 1.2 1.36
Goals Conceded 0.73 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 18, 2026 Primera B
Envigado vs Quindio
1:0
Apr 25, 2026 Primera B
Quindio vs Envigado
2:1
Feb 24, 2026 Primera B
Envigado vs Quindio
1:2
Apr 26, 2024 Copa Colombia
Quindio vs Envigado
2:3
Apr 10, 2024 Copa Colombia
Envigado vs Quindio
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Quindio Compare

Top Goalscorer Carabali R. A. F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ibarguen J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Envigado Compare

Top Goalscorer Hernandez J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Quindio 68 / 100
Envigado 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Quindio Envigado

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick QUI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Quindio scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Quindio has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Envigado's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Quindio VS Envigado
0.88 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
38% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Quindio

(Home)
08 Aug
Quindio
1 : 1
Inter Palmira
03 Aug
Leones
1 : 1
Quindio
28 Jul
Quindio
3 : 1
Deportes Tolima
24 Jul
Quindio
0 : 1
Boca Juniors de Cali
21 Jul
Deportes Tolima
2 : 1
Quindio
Page 1 of 6

Envigado

(Away)
03 Aug
Independiente Valle del Cauca
1 : 1
Envigado
30 Jul
Envigado
0 : 3
Once Caldas
27 Jul
Envigado
1 : 0
Real Cundinamarca
22 Jul
Once Caldas
3 : 0
Envigado
29 May
Envigado
1 : 1
Cartagena
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Envigado 6 3 2 1 6:3 11
2 Quindio 6 3 1 2 4:3 10
3 Inter Palmira 6 1 4 1 3:3 7
4 Tigres Futbol Club 6 1 1 4 4:8 4
Promotion - Primera B (Apertura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cartagena 6 4 1 1 8:6 13
2 Union Magdalena 6 2 3 1 8:4 9
3 Barranquilla 6 1 3 2 5:6 6
4 Bogota 6 0 3 3 3:8 3
Promotion - Primera B (Apertura - Play Offs)