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Quixada vs Guarani de Juazeiro - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Cearense 2 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Gleryston
45' Event
Gustavo Queiroz
60' Event
Indio Potiguar

AI Match Summary

The Cearense 2 2025 game between Quixada and Guarani de Juazeiro finished 5-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Quixada.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Quixada
15%
Draws
65%
Guarani de Juazeiro
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Guarani de Juazeiro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Quixada come out ahead of Guarani de Juazeiro on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Quixada Clean Sheet 20%
Guarani de Juazeiro Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Quixada Guarani de Juazeiro
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 8
Draws 5 9
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.4 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 19, 2025 Cearense 2
Quixada vs Guarani de Juazeiro
5:2
Feb 23, 2025 Cearense 2
Guarani de Juazeiro vs Quixada
0:2
Feb 27, 2016 Cearense
Quixada vs Guarani de Juazeiro
0:2
Feb 3, 2016 Cearense
Guarani de Juazeiro vs Quixada
1:0
Mar 14, 2015 Cearense
Guarani de Juazeiro vs Quixada
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Quixada Compare

Top Goalscorer Gleryston
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gustavo Queiroz
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Guarani de Juazeiro Compare

Top Goalscorer Santos R.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Quixada 32 / 100
Guarani de Juazeiro 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Quixada Guarani de Juazeiro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guarani de Juazeiro Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Quixada found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Guarani de Juazeiro conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Quixada has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Quixada VS Guarani de Juazeiro
0.5 Goals Scored 0.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Quixada

(Home)
09 Feb
Quixada
1 : 3
Maranguape
04 Feb
Maracana
2 : 3
Quixada
29 Jan
Quixada
0 : 1
Tirol
22 Jan
Quixada
1 : 2
Ferroviario
15 Jan
Fortaleza
4 : 0
Quixada
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Guarani de Juazeiro

(Away)
17 May
Caucaia
1 : 2
Guarani de Juazeiro
13 May
Icasa
2 : 1
Guarani de Juazeiro
09 May
Guarani de Juazeiro
2 : 1
Barbalha
26 Apr
Guarani de Juazeiro
1 : 1
Crato
18 Apr
Cariri FC
0 : 1
Guarani de Juazeiro
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Itapipoca 8 6 1 1 15:4 19
2 Maranguape 8 5 1 2 11:4 16
3 Caucaia 8 4 1 3 11:10 13
4 Atletico Cearense 8 1 3 4 8:15 6
5 Tiradentes 8 0 2 6 6:18 2
Promotion - Cearense 2 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Cearense 2 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Cearense 3 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Quixada 8 5 1 2 14:11 16
2 Crato 8 3 2 3 13:10 11
3 Guarani de Juazeiro 8 3 2 3 11:14 11
4 Icasa 8 2 5 1 14:7 11
5 Pacatuba 8 1 2 5 9:19 5
Promotion - Cearense 2 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Cearense 2 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Cearense 3 (Main)