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Quixada vs Itarema

Brazil Brazil

Cearense 3 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Dico
59' Event
Gleryston

AI Match Summary

The Cearense 3 2024 game between Quixada and Itarema finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Quixada.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Quixada
15%
Draws
0%
Itarema
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Quixada

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Quixada come out ahead of Itarema on wins alone.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Quixada taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%
Quixada Clean Sheet 19%
Itarema Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Quixada Itarema
Matches Played 31 6
Wins 17 0
Draws 5 0
Losses 9 6
Goals Scored 1.42 0.17
Goals Conceded 1.1 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 15, 2024 Cearense 3
Quixada vs Itarema
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Quixada Compare

Top Goalscorer Dico
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gleryston
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Itarema Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Quixada 85 / 100
Itarema 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Quixada Itarema

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Quixada Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Itarema conceded in 100% of 6 recent games.

Itarema lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Quixada scored in 77% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Quixada VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Quixada

(Home)
09 Feb
Quixada
1 : 3
Maranguape
04 Feb
Maracana
2 : 3
Quixada
29 Jan
Quixada
0 : 1
Tirol
22 Jan
Quixada
1 : 2
Ferroviario
15 Jan
Fortaleza
4 : 0
Quixada
Page 1 of 7

Itarema

(Away)
20 Jul
Crato
6 : 0
Itarema
15 Jul
Itarema
0 : 2
Tiangua EC
08 Jul
Itarema
1 : 2
Terra e Mar
30 Jun
Esporte Limoeiro
2 : 0
Itarema
23 Jun
Itarema
0 : 1
Alianca Futebol Clube
Page 1 of 2

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Quixada 6 5 1 0 10:3 16
2 Esporte Limoeiro 6 4 1 1 8:3 13
3 Crato 6 3 1 2 12:7 10
4 Terra e Mar 6 3 0 3 12:11 9
5 Tiangua EC 6 3 0 3 8:7 9
6 Alianca Futebol Clube 6 1 1 4 5:10 4
7 Itarema 6 0 0 6 1:15 0
Promotion - Cearense 3 2024 (Play Offs)