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Quixada vs Maranguape

Brazil Brazil

Cearense Estadio Abilhao, Quixada
Our Tip

Match Events

11'
Sub
Gleryston In: Natan
Out: Gleryston
25'
Samuel
25'
Yarley

AI Match Summary

The Cearense game between Quixada and Maranguape finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Maranguape.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Quixada
15%
Draws
59%
Maranguape
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Maranguape

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Quixada come out ahead of Maranguape on wins alone.
  • Maranguape are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Cearense form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Quixada Clean Sheet 24%
Maranguape Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Quixada Maranguape
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 13
Draws 5 6
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.4 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 9, 2026 Cearense
Quixada vs Maranguape
1:3
Apr 12, 2025 Cearense 2
Maranguape vs Quixada
2:1
Mar 4, 2015 Cearense
Maranguape vs Quixada
1:2
Mar 1, 2015 Cearense
Quixada vs Maranguape
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Quixada Compare

Top Goalscorer Dico
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Maranguape Compare

Top Goalscorer Felipe Hulk
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ronald
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Quixada 25 / 100
Maranguape 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Quixada Maranguape

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Maranguape Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.75 goals per match.

Quixada found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Maranguape's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Solid form: Quixada remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Quixada VS Maranguape
0.75 Goals Scored 1.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Quixada

(Home)
09 Feb
Quixada
1 : 3
Maranguape
04 Feb
Maracana
2 : 3
Quixada
29 Jan
Quixada
0 : 1
Tirol
22 Jan
Quixada
1 : 2
Ferroviario
15 Jan
Fortaleza
4 : 0
Quixada
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Maranguape

(Away)
09 Feb
Quixada
1 : 3
Maranguape
03 Feb
Maranguape
3 : 2
Tirol
28 Jan
Maranguape
1 : 1
Maracana
17 Jan
Maranguape
0 : 3
Floresta EC
15 Jan
Ceara
1 : 0
Maranguape
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