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R. Volgograd vs Chelyabinsk - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

FNL Volgograd Arena, Volgograd
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Match Events

14' Event
Eldarushev A.
23'
Chagrov N.
32' Event
Troshechkin A.

AI Match Summary

The FNL game between R. Volgograd and Chelyabinsk finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward R. Volgograd.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
R. Volgograd
35%
Draws
38%
Chelyabinsk
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Chelyabinsk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • R. Volgograd carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans R. Volgograd's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
R. Volgograd Clean Sheet 68%
Chelyabinsk Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric R. Volgograd Chelyabinsk
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 14 6
Draws 7 10
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.57 1.18
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2026 FNL
R. Volgograd vs Chelyabinsk
4:1
Nov 24, 2025 FNL
R. Volgograd vs Chelyabinsk
0:2
Jul 26, 2025 FNL
Chelyabinsk vs R. Volgograd
1:0
May 22, 2024 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
Chelyabinsk vs R. Volgograd
2:1
May 5, 2024 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
R. Volgograd vs Chelyabinsk
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

R. Volgograd Compare

Top Goalscorer Eldarushev A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Troshechkin A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Chelyabinsk Compare

Top Goalscorer Urvantsev M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

R. Volgograd 46 / 100
Chelyabinsk 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
R. Volgograd Chelyabinsk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

R. Volgograd's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Chelyabinsk conceded in 86% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: R. Volgograd stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

R. Volgograd VS Chelyabinsk
1.25 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

R. Volgograd

(Home)
10 Oct
R. Volgograd
2 : 2
Ulyanovsk
17 Sept
Tekstilshtik
0 : 2
R. Volgograd
13 Sept
R. Volgograd
4 : 0
Yenisey
09 Sept
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
2 : 0
R. Volgograd
05 Sept
Shinnik Yaroslavl
2 : 2
R. Volgograd
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Chelyabinsk

(Away)
09 Oct
Neftekhimik
2 : 4
Chelyabinsk
26 Sept
Chelyabinsk
1 : 1
Yenisey
18 Sept
Chelyabinsk
2 : 1
Ufa
14 Sept
Kamaz
1 : 1
Chelyabinsk
10 Sept
Dynamo Barnaul
0 : 2
Chelyabinsk
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pari Nizhny Novgorod 12 10 1 1 36:14 31
2 Veles Moscow 14 8 2 4 19:17 26
3 Ural 13 7 4 2 21:8 25
4 S. Kostroma 13 7 3 3 18:13 24
5 PFC Sochi 12 7 2 3 21:14 23
6 Torpedo Moscow 12 6 3 3 21:9 21
7 Ufa 12 4 6 2 16:13 18
8 R. Volgograd 12 5 2 5 20:14 17
9 Arsenal Tula 13 4 4 5 15:24 16
10 Shinnik Yaroslavl 12 3 7 2 15:13 16
11 Chelyabinsk 13 4 3 6 17:21 15
12 Yenisey 12 3 5 4 15:20 14
13 Ulyanovsk 13 4 2 7 16:19 14
14 Leningradets 12 3 4 5 10:20 13
15 Neftekhimik 13 4 0 9 9:19 12
16 Kamaz 13 2 4 7 14:22 10
17 Tekstilshtik 12 1 4 7 8:19 7
18 SKA Khabarovsk 13 1 4 8 14:26 7
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