Sport Picks

Russia

FNL 2025/2026 Volgograd Arena, Volgograd

R. Volgograd

1 - 0

Fakel Voronezh

Our Tip

Match Events

22'

Eldarushev A.

28'

Gabaraev A.

41'

Sub

Bagamaev A. In: Simonov K.

Out: Bagamaev A.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

R. Volgograd in this FNL 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored R. Volgograd.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%

R. Volgograd

28%

Draws

50%

Fakel Voronezh

Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Fakel Voronezh

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

Attack-wise there's a gap: Fakel Voronezh at 1.5 per game, R. Volgograd at 1.13.
Model gives Fakel Voronezh a 50% chance of winning this.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%

R. Volgograd Clean Sheet 22%

Fakel Voronezh Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	R. Volgograd	Fakel Voronezh
Matches Played	27	28
Wins	13	13
Draws	6	10
Losses	8	5
Goals Scored	1.13	1.5
Goals Conceded	0.63	0.75
Expected Goals (xG)	1.13	1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.63	0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 20, 2026 FNL

R. Volgograd vs Fakel Voronezh

1:0

Oct 20, 2025 FNL

Fakel Voronezh vs R. Volgograd

4:0

Nov 27, 2021 FNL

R. Volgograd vs Fakel Voronezh

1:2

Aug 21, 2021 FNL

Fakel Voronezh vs R. Volgograd

1:0

Apr 8, 2020 FNL

Fakel Voronezh vs R. Volgograd

0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

R. Volgograd Compare

Top Goalscorer Eldarushev A.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.87

Avg xA / game 0.56

Fakel Voronezh Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36

Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

R. Volgograd 24 / 100

Fakel Voronezh 59 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

R. Volgograd Fakel Voronezh

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FAK Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

R. Volgograd scored in 78% of their last 27 games.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Recent resilience: R. Volgograd stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Fakel Voronezh's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

R. Volgograd VS Fakel Voronezh

1.13 Goals Scored 1.5

0.63 Goals Conceded 0.75

38% Over 1.5 75%

25% Over 2.5 50%

25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

R. Volgograd

(Home)

20 Jul

R. Volgograd

1 : 0

SKA Khabarovsk

12 Jul

Pari Nizhny Novgorod

4 : 2

R. Volgograd

06 Jul

R. Volgograd

1 : 3

Akron Togliatti

28 Jun

R. Volgograd

1 : 0

Ufa

23 May

Akron Togliatti

0 : 1

R. Volgograd

Page 1 of 6

Fakel Voronezh

(Away)

15 Jul

FK Rostov

2 : 1

Fakel Voronezh

11 Jul

Akron Togliatti

1 : 1

Fakel Voronezh

07 Jul

Fakel Voronezh

3 : 1

FK Rostov

16 May

Ulyanovsk

0 : 3

Fakel Voronezh

08 May

Fakel Voronezh

0 : 0

SKA Khabarovsk

Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Scroll horizontally →

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Rodina Moscow	34	19	11	4	58:28	68
2	Fakel Voronezh	34	20	8	6	44:22	68
3	Ural	34	18	7	9	51:31	61
4	R. Volgograd	34	15	11	8	47:26	56
5	Kamaz	34	12	13	9	46:34	49
6	Yenisey	34	13	10	11	37:35	49
7	S. Kostroma	34	12	13	9	46:41	49
8	Shinnik Yaroslavl	34	11	15	8	34:28	48
9	Torpedo Moscow	34	12	10	12	37:39	46
10	Chelyabinsk	34	10	14	10	42:40	44
11	Neftekhimik	34	10	13	11	40:41	43
12	SKA Khabarovsk	34	10	12	12	37:45	42
13	Arsenal Tula	34	8	15	11	42:44	39
14	Ulyanovsk	34	9	10	15	35:48	37
15	Ufa	34	9	10	15	32:40	37
16	Chernomorets Novorossijsk	34	9	8	17	37:49	35
17	Saratov	34	5	11	18	16:44	26
18	FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye	34	5	7	22	30:76	22

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