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R. Volgograd vs PFC Sochi - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

FNL Volgograd Arena, Volgograd
Fri, Oct 16, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

R. Volgograd host PFC Sochi in the FNL. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: R. Volgograd at 1.55 goals for, 1 against; PFC Sochi at 1.46 for, 1.54 against. Past meetings favor PFC Sochi slightly — 0-2-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 14, 2025, ending 1:1. xG projections (1.31 - 1.31) back R. Volgograd to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
R. Volgograd
20%
Draws
40%
PFC Sochi
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • PFC Sochi haven't matched R. Volgograd's recent run of results.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on R. Volgograd taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
R. Volgograd Clean Sheet 18%
PFC Sochi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric R. Volgograd PFC Sochi
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 14 12
Draws 6 4
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.55 1.46
Goals Conceded 1 1.54
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2025 Club Friendly
PFC Sochi vs R. Volgograd
1:1
Nov 8, 2024 FNL
R. Volgograd vs PFC Sochi
1:1
Sep 14, 2024 FNL
PFC Sochi vs R. Volgograd
0:0
May 7, 2021 Premier League
PFC Sochi vs R. Volgograd
2:1
Aug 22, 2020 Premier League
R. Volgograd vs PFC Sochi
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

R. Volgograd 76 / 100
PFC Sochi 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
R. Volgograd PFC Sochi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick R. Volgograd Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: PFC Sochi conceded in 86% of 28 recent games.

R. Volgograd found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: R. Volgograd stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

R. Volgograd VS PFC Sochi
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

R. Volgograd

(Home)
17 Sept
Tekstilshtik
0 : 2
R. Volgograd
13 Sept
R. Volgograd
4 : 0
Yenisey
09 Sept
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
2 : 0
R. Volgograd
05 Sept
Shinnik Yaroslavl
2 : 2
R. Volgograd
31 Aug
S. Kostroma
1 : 0
R. Volgograd
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PFC Sochi

(Away)
18 Sept
PFC Sochi
1 : 1
SKA Khabarovsk
14 Sept
Veles Moscow
1 : 2
PFC Sochi
09 Sept
Dynamo Petersburg
2 : 0
PFC Sochi
05 Sept
PFC Sochi
0 : 1
Pari Nizhny Novgorod
30 Aug
PFC Sochi
2 : 1
Chelyabinsk
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pari Nizhny Novgorod 12 10 1 1 36:14 31
2 Ural 12 7 4 1 20:6 25
3 S. Kostroma 12 7 3 2 16:10 24
4 PFC Sochi 12 7 2 3 21:14 23
5 Veles Moscow 13 7 2 4 17:16 23
6 Torpedo Moscow 12 6 3 3 21:9 21
7 Ufa 12 4 6 2 16:13 18
8 R. Volgograd 12 5 2 5 20:14 17
9 Shinnik Yaroslavl 12 3 7 2 15:13 16
10 Yenisey 12 3 5 4 15:20 14
11 Ulyanovsk 13 4 2 7 16:19 14
12 Arsenal Tula 12 3 4 5 12:22 13
13 Leningradets 12 3 4 5 10:20 13
14 Neftekhimik 12 4 0 8 7:15 12
15 Chelyabinsk 12 3 3 6 13:19 12
16 Kamaz 12 2 3 7 11:19 9
17 Tekstilshtik 12 1 4 7 8:19 7
18 SKA Khabarovsk 12 1 3 8 11:23 6
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League (Relegation)