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R. Volgograd vs Ural - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

FNL Volgograd Arena, Volgograd
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Simonyan A.
34'
Sub
Bayramyan K. In: Bondarev V.
Out: Bayramyan K.
37'
Yudintsev G.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this FNL matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
R. Volgograd
30%
Draws
33%
Ural
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: R. Volgograd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Not much separates R. Volgograd and Ural on recent form.
  • R. Volgograd are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular FNL form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
R. Volgograd Clean Sheet 68%
Ural Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric R. Volgograd Ural
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 14
Draws 6 6
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.59 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.03 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 14, 2026 FNL
R. Volgograd vs Ural
1:1
Mar 9, 2026 FNL
R. Volgograd vs Ural
1:1
Sep 20, 2025 FNL
Ural vs R. Volgograd
0:0
Mar 3, 2025 FNL
R. Volgograd vs Ural
0:0
Sep 7, 2024 FNL
Ural vs R. Volgograd
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

R. Volgograd Compare

Top Goalscorer Simonyan A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Ural Compare

Top Goalscorer Fourrier B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

R. Volgograd 68 / 100
Ural 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
R. Volgograd Ural

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick R. Volgograd Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

R. Volgograd found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Recent resilience: R. Volgograd stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Ural let in goals in 52% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.20 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

R. Volgograd VS Ural
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

R. Volgograd

(Home)
10 Oct
R. Volgograd
2 : 2
Ulyanovsk
17 Sept
Tekstilshtik
0 : 2
R. Volgograd
13 Sept
R. Volgograd
4 : 0
Yenisey
09 Sept
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
2 : 0
R. Volgograd
05 Sept
Shinnik Yaroslavl
2 : 2
R. Volgograd
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Ural

(Away)
10 Oct
Ural
1 : 2
Veles Moscow
26 Sept
S. Kostroma
1 : 2
Ural
18 Sept
Neftekhimik
0 : 1
Ural
14 Sept
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1 : 1
Ural
10 Sept
Luki-Energiya
2 : 1
Ural
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pari Nizhny Novgorod 13 11 1 1 41:14 34
2 PFC Sochi 13 8 2 3 22:14 26
3 Veles Moscow 14 8 2 4 19:17 26
4 Ural 13 7 4 2 21:8 25
5 Torpedo Moscow 13 7 3 3 24:10 24
6 S. Kostroma 13 7 3 3 18:13 24
7 Shinnik Yaroslavl 13 4 7 2 17:13 19
8 R. Volgograd 13 5 3 5 22:16 18
9 Ufa 13 4 6 3 16:14 18
10 Arsenal Tula 13 4 4 5 15:24 16
11 Chelyabinsk 13 4 3 6 17:21 15
12 Ulyanovsk 14 4 3 7 18:21 15
13 Yenisey 13 3 5 5 15:25 14
14 Leningradets 13 3 4 6 11:23 13
15 Neftekhimik 13 4 0 9 9:19 12
16 Kamaz 13 2 4 7 14:22 10
17 SKA Khabarovsk 13 1 4 8 14:26 7
18 Tekstilshtik 13 1 4 8 8:21 7
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League (Relegation)