Sport Picks

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R4 EC W vs Ceara W

Brazil Brazil

Cearense Women 2024
Wed, Nov 20, 2024
2 - 1
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

R4 EC W in this Cearense Women 2024 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
R4 EC W
15%
Draws
42%
Ceara W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: R4 EC W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: R4 EC W at 3.95 per game, Ceara W at 1.69.
  • Win probability leans R4 EC W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Ceara W, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Ceara W here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 33.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
R4 EC W Clean Sheet 20%
Ceara W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric R4 EC W Ceara W
Matches Played 22 32
Wins 11 11
Draws 1 5
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 3.95 1.69
Goals Conceded 1.05 1.44
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.21
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 14, 2025 Cearense Women
R4 EC W vs Ceara W
0:2
Nov 8, 2025 Cearense Women
Ceara W vs R4 EC W
2:1
Nov 20, 2024 Cearense Women
R4 EC W vs Ceara W
2:1
Nov 16, 2024 Cearense Women
Ceara W vs R4 EC W
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

R4 EC W 85 / 100
Ceara W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
R4 EC W Ceara W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick R4 EC W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

R4 EC W scored in 68% of their last 22 games.

Ceara W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 78% of 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Ceara W lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

R4 EC W VS Ceara W
1.14 Goals Scored 1
1.43 Goals Conceded 1.63
57% Over 1.5 75%
57% Over 2.5 63%
29% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

R4 EC W

(Home)
30 May
Juventude W
1 : 0
R4 EC W
17 May
R4 EC W
1 : 2
Juventude W
02 May
Uniao RN W
4 : 1
R4 EC W
29 Apr
Criciuma W
1 : 0
R4 EC W
24 Apr
R4 EC W
3 : 1
Mixto PB W
Page 1 of 5

Ceara W

(Away)
08 Aug
Ceara W
0 : 3
Sport Recife W
01 Aug
Vila Nova FC W
1 : 0
Ceara W
25 Jul
Minas Brasilia W
4 : 0
Ceara W
12 Jul
Ceara W
2 : 1
3B da Amazonia W
31 May
Ceara W
0 : 2
Vasco W
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Crato W 0
Fortaleza W 30
Ceara W 3
R4 EC W 2
Final
Fortaleza W 0
Ceara W 1