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Rabat Ajax vs Gharghur

Malta Malta

FA Trophy 2019/2020
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Rabat Ajax in this FA Trophy 2019/2020 tie, finishing 4-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Rabat Ajax
15%
Draws
85%
Gharghur
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gharghur

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

0% / Low Confidence
  • Gharghur average 1.39 goals a game right now, well clear of Rabat Ajax's 1.33.
  • Model gives Rabat Ajax a 0% chance of winning this.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Rabat Ajax, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Rabat Ajax have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Rabat Ajax Clean Sheet 16%
Gharghur Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rabat Ajax Gharghur
Matches Played 33 31
Wins 7 7
Draws 5 5
Losses 21 19
Goals Scored 1.33 1.39
Goals Conceded 2.39 2.58
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 26, 2019 FA Trophy
Rabat Ajax vs Gharghur
4:1
Apr 8, 2017 Challenge League
Rabat Ajax vs Gharghur
1:1
Dec 10, 2016 Challenge League
Gharghur vs Rabat Ajax
0:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rabat Ajax 48 / 100
Gharghur 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rabat Ajax Gharghur

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rabat Ajax Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gharghur let in goals in 90% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.67 goals.

Attacking prowess: Rabat Ajax scored in 61% of their last 33 outings.

Gharghur lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rabat Ajax VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Rabat Ajax

(Home)
09 Apr
Rabat Ajax
1 : 2
Melita
04 Apr
Vittoriosa
3 : 2
Rabat Ajax
13 Mar
Rabat Ajax
0 : 2
Naxxar Lions
06 Mar
San Gwann
3 : 1
Rabat Ajax
27 Feb
Rabat Ajax
1 : 3
Lija
Page 1 of 7

Gharghur

(Away)
26 Oct
Rabat Ajax
4 : 1
Gharghur
14 Sept
Sannat Lions
0 : 1
Gharghur
27 Oct
Marsa
5 : 1
Gharghur
09 Sept
Gharghur
3 : 1
Xaghra
02 Sept
Qala Saints
1 : 3
Gharghur
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Floriana -
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Zurrieq -
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Melita -
Gzira -
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Senglea -
Rabat Ajax -
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Sannat Lions -
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Gharghur -
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Mosta FC -
Birkirkara -
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Vittoriosa -
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Nadur -
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Oratory -
Balzan FC -
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San Gwann -
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Marsa -
Sliema -
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Santa Lucia -
Qala Saints -
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Dingli Swallows -
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Mqabba FC -
Pieta -
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St. George's FC -
Birzebbuga -
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Gharb -
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St. Lawrence 0
Xewkija 5
Mgarr -
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Mtarfa -
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Ghaxaq 4
Zebbug Rovers 1
Marsaxlokk -
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St. Andrews -
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Valletta -
Kirkop 2
Kercem Ajax 3
Xbiex 1
Munxar 2
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Fgura -
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Sirens -
Zebbug -
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Kalkara -
Xaghra 2
St. Venera 0
Victoria Wanderers 2
Ghajnsielem 3
Siggiewi 1
Marsaskala FC 0
Victoria Hotspurs 7
Mdina 0
Gudja -
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Qrendi -
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Lija -
Pembroke -
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Xghajra -
Msida -
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Attard -
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Zabbar -
Zejtun -
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Naxxar Lions -
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Hibernians -
Qormi -
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Luqa -
Mellieha -
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Swieqi -
Tarxien -
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Hamrun -
1/64-finals
Floriana -
TBD -
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Zurrieq -
TBD -
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Melita -
Gzira -
TBD -
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Senglea -
Rabat Ajax -
TBD -
Sannat Lions 0
Gharghur 1
TBD -
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Mosta FC -
Birkirkara -
TBD -
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Vittoriosa -
TBD -
Nadur 4
Oratory 0
Balzan FC -
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San Gwann -
TBD -
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Marsa -
Sliema -
TBD -
TBD -
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Santa Lucia -
Qala Saints 2
Dingli Swallows 3
TBD -
Mqabba FC -
Pieta -
TBD -
TBD -
St. George's FC -
Birzebbuga -
TBD -
Gharb 0
Xewkija 2
Mgarr -
TBD -
Mtarfa 0
Ghaxaq 2
Marsaxlokk -
TBD -
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St. Andrews -
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Valletta -
Kercem Ajax 5
Munxar 0
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Fgura -
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Sirens -
Zebbug -
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Kalkara -
Xaghra 3
Ghajnsielem 1
Siggiewi 0
Victoria Hotspurs 4
Gudja -
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Qrendi -
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Lija -
Pembroke -
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Xghajra -
Msida 1
Attard 2
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Zabbar -
Zejtun -
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Naxxar Lions -
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Hibernians -
Qormi -
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Luqa -
Mellieha -
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Swieqi -
Tarxien -
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Hamrun -
1/32-finals
Floriana -
TBD -
Zurrieq 0
Melita 2
Gzira -
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Senglea -
Rabat Ajax 4
Gharghur 1
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Mosta FC -
Birkirkara -
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Vittoriosa 0
Nadur 3
Balzan FC -
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San Gwann 2
Marsa 0
Sliema -
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Santa Lucia -
Dingli Swallows 1
Mqabba FC 3
Pieta 4
St. George's FC 1
Birzebbuga 2
Xewkija 7
Mgarr 5
Ghaxaq 1
Marsaxlokk 1
St. Andrews 3
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Valletta -
Kercem Ajax 2
Fgura 1
TBD -
Sirens -
Zebbug 3
Kalkara 1
Xaghra 0
Victoria Hotspurs 3
Gudja -
TBD -
Qrendi 0
Lija 5
Pembroke 3
Xghajra 0
Attard 0
Zabbar 1
Zejtun 2
Naxxar Lions 1
TBD -
Hibernians -
Qormi 1
Luqa 0
Mellieha 1
Swieqi 4
Tarxien -
TBD -
TBD -
Hamrun -
1/16-finals
Floriana 6
Melita 1
Gzira 1
Senglea 2
Rabat Ajax 0
Mosta FC 7
Birkirkara 1
Nadur 0
Balzan FC 3
San Gwann 0
Sliema 0
Santa Lucia 2
Mqabba FC 0
Pieta 3
Xewkija 5
Mgarr 2
St. Andrews 0
Valletta 4
Kercem Ajax 1
Sirens 4
Zebbug 3
Victoria Hotspurs 5
Gudja 3
Lija 0
Pembroke 6
Zabbar 0
Zejtun 0
Hibernians 3
Qormi 2
Swieqi 3
Tarxien 1
Hamrun 2
1/8-finals
Floriana 2
Senglea 0
Mosta FC 1
Birkirkara 2
Balzan FC 2
Santa Lucia 0
Pieta 2
Xewkija 1
Valletta 4
Sirens 1
Victoria Hotspurs 1
Gudja 3
Pembroke 0
Hibernians 4
Swieqi 1
Hamrun 3
Quarter-finals
Floriana 2
Birkirkara 1
Balzan FC 0
Pieta 1
Valletta 2
Gudja 0
Hibernians 2
Hamrun 1
Semi-finals
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Final
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