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Rabat Ajax vs St. George's FC

Malta Malta

Challenge League 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Challenge League 2021/2022 game between Rabat Ajax and St. George's FC finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Rabat Ajax
6%
Draws
4%
St. George's FC
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Rabat Ajax

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Rabat Ajax's 1 goals per match outpaces what St. George's FC have produced (0.5).
  • Rabat Ajax are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Rabat Ajax Clean Sheet 68%
St. George's FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rabat Ajax St. George's FC
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 5 5
Draws 4 2
Losses 21 21
Goals Scored 1 0.5
Goals Conceded 2.38 2.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 2.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2022 Challenge League
St. George's FC vs Rabat Ajax
0:3
Oct 30, 2021 Challenge League
Rabat Ajax vs St. George's FC
1:1
Jan 23, 2016 Challenge League
St. George's FC vs Rabat Ajax
1:5
Sep 13, 2015 Challenge League
Rabat Ajax vs St. George's FC
1:0
Mar 1, 2015 Challenge League
St. George's FC vs Rabat Ajax
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rabat Ajax 95 / 100
St. George's FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rabat Ajax St. George's FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RAB Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

St. George's FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 89% of 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

St. George's FC lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Rabat Ajax found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Rabat Ajax VS St. George's FC
1 Goals Scored 0.5
2.38 Goals Conceded 2.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Rabat Ajax

(Home)
09 Apr
Rabat Ajax
1 : 2
Melita
04 Apr
Vittoriosa
3 : 2
Rabat Ajax
13 Mar
Rabat Ajax
0 : 2
Naxxar Lions
06 Mar
San Gwann
3 : 1
Rabat Ajax
27 Feb
Rabat Ajax
1 : 3
Lija
Page 1 of 6

St. George's FC

(Away)
13 Dec
St. George's FC
1 : 5
Swieqi
09 Apr
St. George's FC
2 : 2
Lija
01 Apr
Zejtun
2 : 0
St. George's FC
15 Mar
Floriana
2 : 0
St. George's FC
12 Mar
Mqabba FC
4 : 1
St. George's FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Pembroke20146049:1648
2Marsaxlokk20132540:2241
3Zejtun20124444:2440
4Naxxar Lions20121737:2237
5Melita20103728:2233
6San Gwann2086638:2230
7Lija2084839:3728
8Mqabba FC20551029:4120
9Vittoriosa20511423:6116
10Rabat Ajax20341320:4213
11St. George's FC20121713:515
Promotion - Premier League 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - Challenge League 2021/2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Zebbug20143346:1545
2Pieta20124439:1940
3Tarxien20108245:2438
4Marsa20105535:2233
5Fgura2094735:2731
6St. Andrews2084836:3028
7Qrendi20731030:3724
8Swieqi2059621:2924
9Senglea20431324:5015
10Mgarr20351211:3614
11Luqa2024149:4210
Promotion - Premier League 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - Challenge League 2021/2022 (Play Offs)