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Raca vs Samorin

Slovakia Slovakia

Slovak Cup
Tue, Sep 8, 2026
VS
02:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 0-3. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Raca have averaged 1.19 scored and 1.77 conceded recently, against Samorin's 1.7 scored and 1.11 conceded. Head-to-head, Raca have won 1 to Samorin's 4, with 0 draws. They last met on Sep 27, 2023, ending 0:3. The numbers (1.16 xG vs 1.84) point toward Samorin. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Raca
15%
Draws
57%
Samorin
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Samorin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Raca haven't matched Samorin's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Samorin a 57% chance of winning this.
  • Samorin arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Samorin, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Samorin have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 33.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Raca Clean Sheet 10%
Samorin Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Raca Samorin
Matches Played 31 27
Wins 6 14
Draws 8 6
Losses 17 7
Goals Scored 1.19 1.7
Goals Conceded 1.77 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 1.16 1.84
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2023 Slovak Cup
Raca vs Samorin
0:3
Feb 11, 2023 Club Friendly
Samorin vs Raca
2:1
Nov 13, 2022 2. liga
Raca vs Samorin
0:1
Jul 24, 2022 2. liga
Samorin vs Raca
3:1
Sep 10, 2014 Slovak Cup
Raca vs Samorin
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Raca 26 / 100
Samorin 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Raca Samorin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Samorin Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Raca's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Defensive concern: Samorin conceded in 78% of 27 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Raca went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Raca VS Samorin
1.43 Goals Scored 2.25
1.43 Goals Conceded 0.88
71% Over 1.5 88%
57% Over 2.5 63%
29% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Raca

(Home)
04 Sept
MSK Senec
0 : 1
Raca
30 Aug
Raca
1 : 2
Gabcikovo
23 Aug
Belusa
4 : 2
Raca
19 Aug
Bernolakovo
0 : 3
Raca
16 Aug
Raca
2 : 3
Trencin B
Page 1 of 7

Samorin

(Away)
29 Aug
Samorin
2 : 1
Zilina B
22 Aug
Povazska Bystrica
1 : 4
Samorin
19 Aug
Rohoznik
0 : 1
Samorin
15 Aug
Samorin
0 : 2
Banik Lehota pod Vtacnikom
09 Aug
Slovan Bratislava B
1 : 2
Samorin
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
FK 05 Levoca 3
Brezovica 2
Gerlachov 0
L. Mikulas 1
Vysoke Tatry 0
FK Poprad 2
Spisske Podhradie 0
Ruzomberok 5
Hranovnica 1
Harichovce 2
SIM Raslavice 0
FC Kosice 5
Geca 0
Spisska Nova Ves 4
Rudnany 0
Podbrezova 3
Cana 0
Lokomotiva Kosice 4
FK Kechnec 0
Slavia Kosice 3
Roznava 1
Spartak Medzev 2
Velke Kapusany 0
Michalovce 3
Giraltovce 2
Bardejov 6
Zahradne 3
Vranov 4
Ostrovany 2
Kendice 3
Druzstevnik Circ 0
Presov 3
Druzstevnik Cicarovce 1
Stropkov 6
Snina 1
FK Humenne 2
Vinohrad Cebovce 0
Druzstevnik Latky 4
TJD Pribelce 1
FK Pohronie 3
Slovan Halic 0
MSK Lucenec 5
Tomasovce 0
Komarno 5
Hronec 0
Filakovo 4
Lovca 0
Banska Bystrica 2
Brezno 4
Kalinovo 1
Kovacova 0
Zvolen 4
Zavazna Poruba 0
Kysucke Nove Mesto 2
Korna 0
Cadca 7
Krasno 2
Podkonice 1
Jednota Banova 0
Trencin 6
Dynamo Diviaky 1
Nova Bana 3
Priechod 0
Z. Moravce-Vrable 2
Partizan Osrblie 1
Tatran Oravske Vesele 2
Oravska Jasenica 0
Povazska Bystrica 2
Magura Vavrecka 2
SK Tvrdosin 0
Divina 0
Zilina 8
Visnove 0
Namestovo 4
Rosina 0
Bytca 2
Kvasov 2
MSK Martin 5
AFC Nove Mesto 0
Skalica 1
Priehrada 1
Banik Prievidza 3
FC Topolcany 0
Banik Lehota pod Vtacnikom 5
Trebatice 0
Boleraz 3
Soporna 2
Malzenice 1
Rovnost Krajne 1
MSK Puchov 3
Stankovce 0
Spartak Trnava 3
Borsky Mikulas 0
Belusa 2
Kopcany 1
Piestany 8
Nitra-Dolne Krskany 0
Nitra 2
Nitra-Chrenova 0
Slovan Bratislava 8
Zitavany 1
Velke Ludince 4
Svaty Peter 0
Dun. Streda 13
Kovarce 0
Sala 1
Jelka 1
Kostolne Kracany 2
Iskra Holic 1
Myjava 3
Vycapy Opatovce 1
Galanta 4
Besenov 0
Nove Zamky 2
Nova Dedinka 1
Petrzalka 5
Tomasov 3
Gabcikovo 1
Jakubov 1
Inter Bratislava 4
Bernolakovo 0
Raca 3
Rohoznik 0
Samorin 1
Svaty Jur 5
Malinovo 1
Senkvice 0
Dunajska Luzna 4
1/32-finals
FK 05 Levoca -
L. Mikulas -
FK Poprad 0
Ruzomberok 2
Harichovce 0
FC Kosice 7
Spisska Nova Ves -
Podbrezova -
Lokomotiva Kosice 3
Slavia Kosice 0
Spartak Medzev -
Michalovce -
Bardejov 1
Vranov 2
Kendice 0
Presov 8
Stropkov 1
FK Humenne 2
Druzstevnik Latky -
FK Pohronie -
MSK Lucenec -
Komarno -
Filakovo 0
Banska Bystrica 2
Brezno 0
Zvolen 4
Kysucke Nove Mesto 1
Cadca 3
Krasno 0
Trencin 2
Nova Bana -
Z. Moravce-Vrable -
Tatran Oravske Vesele 2
Povazska Bystrica 3
Magura Vavrecka -
Zilina -
Namestovo -
Bytca -
MSK Martin 1
Skalica 4
Banik Prievidza -
Banik Lehota pod Vtacnikom -
Boleraz 3
Soporna 1
MSK Puchov 1
Spartak Trnava 3
Belusa 1
Piestany 2
Nitra -
Slovan Bratislava -
Velke Ludince -
Dun. Streda -
Sala 1
Kostolne Kracany 2
Myjava -
Galanta -
Nove Zamky 4
Petrzalka 3
Tomasov 0
Inter Bratislava 1
Raca -
Samorin -
Svaty Jur 2
Dunajska Luzna 1
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Quarter-finals
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Semi-finals
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Final
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