Sport Picks

Lebanon

Lebanese Cup 2018/2019

Salam Zgharta

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Racing Bejrut play Salam Zgharta in the Lebanese Cup 2018/2019. It looks like a close match. Recently, Racing Bejrut averaged 0.67 goals scored and 1.89 conceded. Salam Zgharta averaged 0.59 goals scored and 1.88 conceded. In past meetings, Racing Bejrut won 1, Salam Zgharta won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 27, 2019 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.35 for Racing Bejrut and 0.86 for Salam Zgharta. This points to a Salam Zgharta double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%

Racing Bejrut

15%

Draws

55%

Salam Zgharta

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Salam Zgharta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

81% / High Confidence

Racing Bejrut picked up more points recently compared to Salam Zgharta.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.35 vs 0.86 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 65%

Over 2.5 Goals 51%

Over 3.5 Goals 31%

Over 4.5 Goals 15%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 40%

Racing Bejrut Clean Sheet 25%

Salam Zgharta Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 59%

Second Half Goal 62%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Racing Bejrut	Salam Zgharta
Matches Played	9	32
Wins	1	5
Draws	0	6
Losses	8	21
Goals Scored	0.67	0.59
Goals Conceded	1.89	1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2019 Lebanese Cup

Racing Bejrut vs Salam Zgharta

Possession: 48% - 50% Cards: 3 - 3

1:0

Jan 19, 2014 Lebanese Cup

Racing Bejrut vs Salam Zgharta

Possession: 47% - 43% Cards: 2 - 3

0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Racing Bejrut 32 / 100

Salam Zgharta 52 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Racing Bejrut Salam Zgharta

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Salam Zgharta Win (2)

Secondary Pick Salam Zgharta & Over 2.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +36.5%

4.55

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +13.2%

2.22

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Racing Bejrut attacking → ← attacking Salam Zgharta

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Racing Bejrut scored in 56% of their last 9 games.

Salam Zgharta let in goals in 88% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Racing Bejrut went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Salam Zgharta lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

3 Points in last 5 21

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.63

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50