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Racing Club Ferrol vs Barakaldo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Primera RFEF - Group 1 Estadio Municipal da Malata, Ferrol
Our Tip

Match Events

34'
Trigueros P.
37'
Marotias O.
40'
Muguruza A.

AI Match Summary

Racing Club Ferrol in this Primera RFEF - Group 1 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Racing Club Ferrol.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
Racing Club Ferrol
20%
Draws
24%
Barakaldo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Racing Club Ferrol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Barakaldo have won more games recently than Racing Club Ferrol.
  • 56% — that's where the model lands on Racing Club Ferrol taking it.
  • Regular Primera RFEF - Group 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Racing Club Ferrol Clean Sheet 68%
Barakaldo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Racing Club Ferrol Barakaldo
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 12
Draws 10 8
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 0.97 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Racing Club Ferrol vs Barakaldo
1:0
Mar 22, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Racing Club Ferrol vs Barakaldo
0:0
Nov 23, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Barakaldo vs Racing Club Ferrol
2:1
Dec 5, 2024 Copa del Rey
Barakaldo vs Racing Club Ferrol
1:2
Apr 14, 2010 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Racing Club Ferrol vs Barakaldo
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Racing Club Ferrol Compare

Top Goalscorer Leal M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Barakaldo Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Racing Club Ferrol 77 / 100
Barakaldo 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Racing Club Ferrol Barakaldo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Racing Club Ferrol Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Racing Club Ferrol found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Barakaldo conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Racing Club Ferrol has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Racing Club Ferrol VS Barakaldo
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Racing Club Ferrol

(Home)
10 Oct
Deportivo Fabril
0 : 1
Racing Club Ferrol
03 Oct
Racing Club Ferrol
2 : 0
Pontevedra
26 Sept
Lugo
1 : 0
Racing Club Ferrol
19 Sept
Racing Club Ferrol
1 : 0
Barakaldo
13 Sept
Racing Club Ferrol
3 : 2
Real Union
Page 1 of 6

Barakaldo

(Away)
10 Oct
UD Ourense
1 : 0
Barakaldo
03 Oct
Barakaldo
1 : 1
Arenas Getxo
27 Sept
Barakaldo
3 : 3
Real Aviles
19 Sept
Racing Club Ferrol
1 : 0
Barakaldo
11 Sept
Barakaldo
1 : 0
CD Extremadura
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD Logrones 6 5 1 0 15:7 16
2 Lugo 6 5 1 0 9:3 16
3 Ath Bilbao B 6 3 2 1 12:8 11
4 Cacereno 6 3 2 1 6:3 11
5 Ponferradina 6 3 2 1 5:3 11
6 Mirandes 6 3 1 2 9:7 10
7 Zamora 6 3 1 2 8:6 10
8 Racing Club Ferrol 6 3 1 2 7:5 10
9 Real Union 6 2 2 2 13:11 8
10 Deportivo Fabril 6 2 2 2 8:7 8
11 Pontevedra 6 2 2 2 8:8 8
12 Leonesa 6 2 2 2 4:5 8
13 CD Extremadura 6 2 0 4 5:6 6
14 AD Merida 6 2 0 4 9:11 6
15 Unionistas de Salamanca 6 2 0 4 9:12 6
16 Barakaldo 6 1 3 2 6:9 6
17 Real Aviles 6 1 2 3 9:10 5
18 CD Coria 6 1 2 3 8:11 5
19 UD Ourense 6 0 2 4 2:10 2
20 Arenas Getxo 6 0 2 4 4:14 2
Promotion - LaLiga2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Primera RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)