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Racing Club Ferrol vs Real Union - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Primera RFEF - Group 1 Estadio Municipal da Malata, Ferrol
Our Tip

Match Events

22'
Monjonell E.
55' Event
Alcaina R.
Assist: Ramon A.
59'
Sub
Merquelanz M. In: Galarza A.
Out: Merquelanz M.

AI Match Summary

The Primera RFEF - Group 1 game between Racing Club Ferrol and Real Union finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Racing Club Ferrol.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Racing Club Ferrol
20%
Draws
29%
Real Union
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Racing Club Ferrol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Real Union carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Racing Club Ferrol are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Racing Club Ferrol Clean Sheet 68%
Real Union Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Racing Club Ferrol Real Union
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 7 16
Draws 10 6
Losses 11 6
Goals Scored 0.96 2.14
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Racing Club Ferrol vs Real Union
3:2
Mar 12, 2022 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Racing Club Ferrol vs Real Union
2:1
Dec 11, 2021 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Real Union vs Racing Club Ferrol
0:3
Mar 8, 2009 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Racing Club Ferrol vs Real Union
1:1
Oct 19, 2008 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Real Union vs Racing Club Ferrol
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Racing Club Ferrol Compare

Top Goalscorer Alcaina R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Arroyo R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Real Union Compare

Top Goalscorer Mateo A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Galarza A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Racing Club Ferrol 86 / 100
Real Union 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Racing Club Ferrol Real Union

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Racing Club Ferrol Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Racing Club Ferrol scored in 64% of their last 28 outings.

Real Union's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Racing Club Ferrol went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Racing Club Ferrol VS Real Union
1.25 Goals Scored 2.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Racing Club Ferrol

(Home)
03 Oct
Racing Club Ferrol
2 : 0
Pontevedra
26 Sept
Lugo
1 : 0
Racing Club Ferrol
19 Sept
Racing Club Ferrol
1 : 0
Barakaldo
13 Sept
Racing Club Ferrol
3 : 2
Real Union
06 Sept
CD Extremadura
1 : 0
Racing Club Ferrol
Page 1 of 6

Real Union

(Away)
03 Oct
Real Union
1 : 1
UD Ourense
26 Sept
Deportivo Fabril
2 : 0
Real Union
19 Sept
Real Union
2 : 2
Mirandes
13 Sept
Racing Club Ferrol
3 : 2
Real Union
05 Sept
Unionistas de Salamanca
2 : 4
Real Union
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD Logrones 6 5 1 0 15:7 16
2 Lugo 6 5 1 0 9:3 16
3 Ath Bilbao B 6 3 2 1 12:8 11
4 Cacereno 6 3 2 1 6:3 11
5 Ponferradina 6 3 2 1 5:3 11
6 Mirandes 6 3 1 2 9:7 10
7 Zamora 6 3 1 2 8:6 10
8 Racing Club Ferrol 6 3 1 2 7:5 10
9 Real Union 6 2 2 2 13:11 8
10 Deportivo Fabril 6 2 2 2 8:7 8
11 Pontevedra 6 2 2 2 8:8 8
12 Leonesa 6 2 2 2 4:5 8
13 CD Extremadura 6 2 0 4 5:6 6
14 AD Merida 6 2 0 4 9:11 6
15 Unionistas de Salamanca 6 2 0 4 9:12 6
16 Barakaldo 6 1 3 2 6:9 6
17 Real Aviles 6 1 2 3 9:10 5
18 CD Coria 6 1 2 3 8:11 5
19 UD Ourense 6 0 2 4 2:10 2
20 Arenas Getxo 6 0 2 4 4:14 2
Promotion - LaLiga2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Primera RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)