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Racing Club Warwick vs Leiston - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Southern League Premier Central
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Racing Club Warwick host Leiston in the Southern League Premier Central. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Recent numbers: Racing Club Warwick at 1.29 goals for, 1.76 against; Leiston at 1.79 for, 1.43 against. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. xG projections (1.63 - 1.63) back Leiston to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Racing Club Warwick
15%
Draws
51%
Leiston
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Leiston

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Leiston come out ahead of Racing Club Warwick on wins alone.
  • Racing Club Warwick are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Racing Club Warwick Clean Sheet 14%
Leiston Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Racing Club Warwick Leiston
Matches Played 21 28
Wins 4 14
Draws 5 6
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1.29 1.79
Goals Conceded 1.76 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Racing Club Warwick 41 / 100
Leiston 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Racing Club Warwick Leiston

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Racing Club Warwick scored in 76% of their last 21 outings.

Leiston has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Leiston lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Racing Club Warwick went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Racing Club Warwick VS Leiston
1.5 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Racing Club Warwick

(Home)
03 Oct
Stourbridge
0 : 1
Racing Club Warwick
29 Sept
Racing Club Warwick
2 : 2
Worcester
26 Sept
Racing Club Warwick
0 : 1
Bromsgrove
21 Sept
Redditch
2 : 1
Racing Club Warwick
19 Sept
Alvechurch
3 : 1
Racing Club Warwick
Page 1 of 5

Leiston

(Away)
03 Oct
Leiston
3 : 1
Coventry United
29 Sept
Real Bedford
3 : 2
Leiston
26 Sept
Leiston
0 : 3
Dartford
22 Sept
Leiston
0 : 2
Peterborough Sports
19 Sept
Hitchin
1 : 2
Leiston
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Real Bedford 9 9 0 0 29:10 27
2 Bury Town 9 8 0 1 18:8 24
3 Bromsgrove 9 7 1 1 17:8 22
4 Alvechurch 9 6 2 1 17:4 20
5 Kettering 9 5 3 1 16:6 18
6 Rushall 10 6 0 4 21:17 18
7 Peterborough Sports 10 4 4 2 19:15 16
8 Anstey Nomads 9 4 3 2 16:13 15
9 Needham Market 9 4 1 4 18:16 13
10 Halesowen 7 4 0 3 8:8 12
11 Leiston 9 3 2 4 17:17 11
12 Redditch 9 2 4 3 12:13 10
13 Racing Club Warwick 10 2 4 4 11:14 10
14 Stortford 9 3 1 5 10:13 10
15 Stourbridge 9 2 4 3 9:12 10
16 Leamington 9 2 3 4 12:14 9
17 Worcester 9 1 4 4 7:12 7
18 Hitchin 10 1 4 5 7:16 7
19 Banbury 9 1 3 5 9:16 6
20 Stratford 9 1 3 5 9:18 6
21 Leighton Town 9 1 2 6 12:20 5
22 Stamford 9 0 0 9 1:25 0
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Promotion - Southern League Premier Central (Play Offs)