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Racing des Gonaives vs Fica Prediction & H2H Stats

Haiti Haiti

Championnat National 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Championnat National 2024 game between Racing des Gonaives and Fica finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Racing des Gonaives.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Racing des Gonaives
35%
Draws
22%
Fica
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Racing des Gonaives

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Fica have managed 0.68 goals a game lately — Racing des Gonaives are scoring more at 0.74.
  • Win probability leans Racing des Gonaives's way, sitting at 40%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Championnat National 2024 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 23%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%
Racing des Gonaives Clean Sheet 20%
Fica Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Racing des Gonaives Fica
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 7 7
Draws 13 14
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 0.74 0.68
Goals Conceded 1 0.84
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 28, 2024 Championnat National
Racing des Gonaives vs Fica
1:0
Mar 30, 2024 Championnat National
Fica vs Racing des Gonaives
0:0
Dec 19, 2020 Championnat National
Fica vs Racing des Gonaives
2:1
Nov 24, 2019 Championnat National
Racing des Gonaives vs Fica
0:0
May 19, 2019 Championnat National
Fica vs Racing des Gonaives
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Racing des Gonaives 40 / 100
Fica 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Racing des Gonaives Fica

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Racing des Gonaives Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fica let in goals in 61% of their last 31 matches.

Racing des Gonaives has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Racing des Gonaives scored in 48% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 0.80 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Racing des Gonaives VS Fica
1 Goals Scored 0.63
1 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 50%
33% Over 2.5 13%
33% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Racing des Gonaives

(Home)
28 Apr
Racing des Gonaives
1 : 0
Fica
21 Apr
Racing des Gonaives
3 : 2
Ouanaminthe
14 Apr
Real Hope
3 : 1
Racing des Gonaives
10 Apr
AS Capoise
1 : 1
Racing des Gonaives
30 Mar
Fica
0 : 0
Racing des Gonaives
Page 1 of 7

Fica

(Away)
28 May
AS Capoise
0 : 0
Fica
25 May
Fica
1 : 1
AS Capoise
04 May
Fica
0 : 2
AS Capoise
27 Apr
Real Hope
0 : 0
Fica
20 Apr
Ouanaminthe
1 : 1
Fica
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Real Hope 8 5 0 3 10:5 15
2 Ouanaminthe 8 4 1 3 6:6 13
3 Racing des Gonaives 8 3 3 2 9:8 12
4 AS Capoise 8 3 2 3 6:6 11
5 Fica 8 1 2 5 2:8 5
Promotion - Championnat National 2024 (Serie de Ouverture - 2nd Phase)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cosmopolites 8 3 3 2 5:4 12
2 Baltimore 8 3 3 2 4:3 12
3 Tempete 8 2 5 1 4:3 11
4 Triomphe Liancourt 8 2 3 3 3:5 9
5 Rivartibonitienne 8 2 2 4 3:4 8
Promotion - Championnat National 2024 (Serie de Ouverture - 2nd Phase)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 America des Cayes 6 4 2 0 15:3 14
2 Cavaly 6 2 3 1 8:7 9
3 Racing Haitien 6 1 3 2 3:9 6
4 Juventus 6 0 2 4 2:9 2
5 Violette 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Championnat National 2024 (Serie de Ouverture - 2nd Phase)