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Racing des Gonaives vs Real du Cap

Haiti Haiti

Championnat National 2021
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AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Championnat National 2021 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Racing des Gonaives
28%
Draws
22%
Real du Cap
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Racing des Gonaives

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Real du Cap have won more games recently than Racing des Gonaives.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Racing des Gonaives taking it.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Championnat National 2021 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Racing des Gonaives Clean Sheet 20%
Real du Cap Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Racing des Gonaives Real du Cap
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 7 11
Draws 13 6
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 0.88 0.86
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.29

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2021 Championnat National
Racing des Gonaives vs Real du Cap
0:0
Sep 26, 2020 Championnat National
Real du Cap vs Racing des Gonaives
1:1
Aug 25, 2019 Championnat National
Racing des Gonaives vs Real du Cap
1:0
May 1, 2019 Championnat National
Real du Cap vs Racing des Gonaives
2:0
Oct 14, 2018 Championnat National
Racing des Gonaives vs Real du Cap
2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Racing des Gonaives 49 / 100
Real du Cap 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Racing des Gonaives Real du Cap

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RAC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Real du Cap conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

Racing des Gonaives went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Difficult form: Real du Cap registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Racing des Gonaives scored in 48% of their last 31 outings.

Scoring Trends

Racing des Gonaives VS Real du Cap
0.88 Goals Scored 0.86
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.29
63% Over 1.5 71%
25% Over 2.5 43%
13% Over 3.5 14%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Don Bosco844014:516
2Mirebalais93608:515
3Ouanaminthe94328:615
4Rivartibonitienne93517:614
5Arcahaie63307:112
6Cavaly63309:412
7Fica93335:412
8Tempete83327:812
9AS Capoise93246:511
10Triomphe Liancourt82428:610
11Real du Cap931510:1110
12Violette92437:810
13Racing des Gonaives92434:710
14America des Cayes72237:78
15Juventus82245:88
16Baltimore81346:96
17Racing Haitien81348:166
18Cosmopolites71153:134