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Racing Lermeno vs La Granja

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 8 2012/2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera Division - Group 8 2012/2013 matchup, with the score ending 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Racing Lermeno
20%
Draws
32%
La Granja
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Racing Lermeno

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to La Granja lately — more wins on the board than Racing Lermeno.
  • Model gives La Granja a 32% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 8 2012/2013 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Racing Lermeno Clean Sheet 20%
La Granja Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Racing Lermeno La Granja
Matches Played 31 33
Wins 3 9
Draws 8 10
Losses 20 14
Goals Scored 0.77 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.71 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 9, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Racing Lermeno vs La Granja
0:1
Oct 12, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
La Granja vs Racing Lermeno
1:0
Apr 27, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Racing Lermeno vs La Granja
3:3
Dec 1, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
La Granja vs Racing Lermeno
3:0
May 6, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Racing Lermeno vs La Granja
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Racing Lermeno 24 / 100
La Granja 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Racing Lermeno La Granja

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick La Granja Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

La Granja's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 33 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: La Granja registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Racing Lermeno scored in 55% of their last 31 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS La Granja
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Racing Lermeno

(Home)
11 May
Racing Lermeno
3 : 2
CD Cebrerena
04 May
Unami CP
2 : 0
Racing Lermeno
01 May
Bupolsa
2 : 1
Racing Lermeno
27 Apr
Racing Lermeno
0 : 2
Becerril
23 Apr
Valladolid Promesas
5 : 1
Racing Lermeno
Page 1 of 7

La Granja

(Away)
21 Aug
La Granja
1 : 4
Gimnastica Segoviana
20 Jun
Becerril
2 : 1
La Granja
06 Jun
La Baneza
2 : 0
La Granja
29 May
La Granja
0 : 0
Salamanca CF UDS B
22 May
Santa Marta Tormes
0 : 0
La Granja
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Burgos CF 38 28 6 4 80:19 90
2 Leonesa 38 25 7 6 70:25 82
3 Arandina 38 25 7 6 66:22 82
4 Gimnastica Segoviana 38 24 3 11 80:38 75
5 Valladolid Promesas 38 22 7 9 68:25 73
6 La Granja 38 20 9 9 50:36 69
7 Atletico Astorga 38 20 8 10 60:41 68
8 Bembibre 38 16 11 11 55:43 59
9 La Virgen 38 16 9 13 51:51 57
10 Real Avila 38 16 7 15 47:46 55
11 Numancia B 38 15 8 15 51:56 53
12 Palencia CA 38 11 10 17 36:47 43
13 Almazan 38 11 10 17 36:55 43
14 Unami CP 38 11 5 22 39:67 38
15 UD Salamanca (Inactive) B 38 8 12 18 27:48 36
16 Racing Lermeno 38 8 10 20 35:64 34
17 Santa Marta Tormes 38 7 11 20 25:50 32
18 Palencia CF 38 9 5 24 32:67 32
19 Villaralbo 38 9 5 24 24:65 32
20 Cuellar Balompie 38 1 6 31 20:87 9
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)