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Racing Louisville W vs Angel City W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

NWSL Women Lynn Family Stadium, Louisville, KY
Our Tip

Match Events

38'
Hodge M.
64'
Sub
Chilufya P. In: Maiara Niehues
Out: Chilufya P.
69' Event
Shores E.
Assist: Gorden S.

AI Match Summary

Angel City W in this NWSL Women matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Angel City W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

6%
Racing Louisville W
30%
Draws
64%
Angel City W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Angel City W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Angel City W have won more games recently than Racing Louisville W.
  • Angel City W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Racing Louisville W here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Racing Louisville W Clean Sheet 10%
Angel City W Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Racing Louisville W Angel City W
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 7 13
Draws 3 7
Losses 17 9
Goals Scored 1.33 1.62
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 NWSL Women
Racing Louisville W vs Angel City W
0:2
Jul 27, 2026 NWSL Women
Angel City W vs Racing Louisville W
1:2
Sep 27, 2025 NWSL Women
Racing Louisville W vs Angel City W
1:0
May 25, 2025 NWSL Women
Angel City W vs Racing Louisville W
2:3
Sep 14, 2024 NWSL Women
Racing Louisville W vs Angel City W
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Racing Louisville W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Angel City W Compare

Top Goalscorer Shores E.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Racing Louisville W 10 / 100
Angel City W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Racing Louisville W Angel City W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Angel City W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Racing Louisville W scored in 70% of their last 27 outings.

Angel City W let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Racing Louisville W has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Racing Louisville W VS Angel City W
1.38 Goals Scored 2.13
2 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Racing Louisville W

(Home)
03 Oct
Racing Louisville W
1 : 1
Utah Royals W
25 Sept
Racing Louisville W
0 : 2
San Diego Wave W
20 Sept
Bay FC W
2 : 0
Racing Louisville W
11 Sept
Racing Louisville W
1 : 2
Gotham FC W
05 Sept
Racing Louisville W
0 : 2
Angel City W
Page 1 of 6

Angel City W

(Away)
04 Oct
Gotham FC W
1 : 1
Angel City W
26 Sept
Washington Spirit W
0 : 1
Angel City W
20 Sept
Utah Royals W
0 : 3
Angel City W
17 Sept
Angel City W
3 : 1
Seattle Reign W
12 Sept
Angel City W
3 : 3
Denver Summit W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gotham FC W 27 16 7 4 35:21 55
2 San Diego Wave W 27 16 3 8 40:28 51
3 Washington Spirit W 27 15 4 8 39:26 49
4 Utah Royals W 27 14 4 9 44:35 46
5 Kansas City Current W 27 13 5 9 48:38 44
6 Angel City W 27 12 7 8 45:29 43
7 Portland Thorns FC W 27 12 7 8 45:39 43
8 North Carolina Courage W 27 13 3 11 50:39 42
9 Seattle Reign W 27 12 4 11 33:32 40
10 Denver Summit W 27 10 8 9 45:37 38
11 Orlando Pride W 27 10 3 14 36:43 33
12 Houston Dash W 27 8 6 13 34:39 30
13 Boston Legacy W 27 8 5 14 36:46 29
14 Bay FC W 27 7 5 15 28:42 26
15 Racing Louisville W 27 7 3 17 36:52 24
16 Chicago Stars W 27 5 2 20 15:63 17
Promotion - NWSL Women (Play Offs)