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Racing Louisville W vs Boston Legacy W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

NWSL Women Lynn Family Stadium, Louisville, KY
Our Tip

Match Events

44' Event
Fischer K.
Assist: Morris M.
46'
Sub
Hernandez N. In: Carabali J.
Out: Hernandez N.
53' Event
O'Kane K.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Racing Louisville W in this NWSL Women matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Racing Louisville W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Racing Louisville W
15%
Draws
76%
Boston Legacy W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Boston Legacy W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / Very High Confidence
  • Racing Louisville W haven't matched Boston Legacy W's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Boston Legacy W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular NWSL Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Racing Louisville W Clean Sheet 11%
Boston Legacy W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Racing Louisville W Boston Legacy W
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 7 10
Draws 3 5
Losses 17 14
Goals Scored 1.33 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 NWSL Women
Racing Louisville W vs Boston Legacy W
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Racing Louisville W Compare

Top Goalscorer Fischer K.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Sears E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Boston Legacy W Compare

Top Goalscorer Smith S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Racing Louisville W 10 / 100
Boston Legacy W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Racing Louisville W Boston Legacy W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Boston Legacy W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: Racing Louisville W scored in 70% of their last 27 outings.

Boston Legacy W has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: Racing Louisville W stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Racing Louisville W VS Boston Legacy W
1.75 Goals Scored 1.75
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.38
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Racing Louisville W

(Home)
03 Oct
Racing Louisville W
1 : 1
Utah Royals W
25 Sept
Racing Louisville W
0 : 2
San Diego Wave W
20 Sept
Bay FC W
2 : 0
Racing Louisville W
11 Sept
Racing Louisville W
1 : 2
Gotham FC W
05 Sept
Racing Louisville W
0 : 2
Angel City W
Page 1 of 6

Boston Legacy W

(Away)
04 Oct
Portland Thorns FC W
2 : 4
Boston Legacy W
26 Sept
Seattle Reign W
2 : 0
Boston Legacy W
20 Sept
Boston Legacy W
1 : 2
Houston Dash W
13 Sept
Washington Spirit W
0 : 3
Boston Legacy W
05 Sept
Utah Royals W
1 : 2
Boston Legacy W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gotham FC W 27 16 7 4 35:21 55
2 San Diego Wave W 27 16 3 8 40:28 51
3 Washington Spirit W 27 15 4 8 39:26 49
4 Utah Royals W 27 14 4 9 44:35 46
5 Kansas City Current W 27 13 5 9 48:38 44
6 Angel City W 27 12 7 8 45:29 43
7 Portland Thorns FC W 27 12 7 8 45:39 43
8 North Carolina Courage W 27 13 3 11 50:39 42
9 Seattle Reign W 27 12 4 11 33:32 40
10 Denver Summit W 27 10 8 9 45:37 38
11 Orlando Pride W 27 10 3 14 36:43 33
12 Houston Dash W 27 8 6 13 34:39 30
13 Boston Legacy W 27 8 5 14 36:46 29
14 Bay FC W 27 7 5 15 28:42 26
15 Racing Louisville W 27 7 3 17 36:52 24
16 Chicago Stars W 27 5 2 20 15:63 17
Promotion - NWSL Women (Play Offs)