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Racing Louisville W vs Gotham FC W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

NWSL Women Lynn Family Stadium, Louisville, KY
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Reiten G.
Assist: Shaw J.
17' Event
Fischer K.
45'
Weber S.

AI Match Summary

The NWSL Women game between Racing Louisville W and Gotham FC W finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gotham FC W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Racing Louisville W
20%
Draws
73%
Gotham FC W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gotham FC W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Racing Louisville W haven't matched Gotham FC W's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular NWSL Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Racing Louisville W Clean Sheet 14%
Gotham FC W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Racing Louisville W Gotham FC W
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 7 16
Draws 3 7
Losses 17 6
Goals Scored 1.33 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.93 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2026 NWSL Women
Racing Louisville W vs Gotham FC W
1:2
May 3, 2026 NWSL Women
Gotham FC W vs Racing Louisville W
1:0
Oct 19, 2025 NWSL Women
Gotham FC W vs Racing Louisville W
2:2
May 10, 2025 NWSL Women
Racing Louisville W vs Gotham FC W
1:0
Jun 15, 2024 NWSL Women
Racing Louisville W vs Gotham FC W
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Racing Louisville W Compare

Top Goalscorer Fischer K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Gotham FC W Compare

Top Goalscorer Reiten G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Shaw J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Racing Louisville W 35 / 100
Gotham FC W 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Racing Louisville W Gotham FC W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gotham FC W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Racing Louisville W's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Gotham FC W conceded in 55% of 29 recent games.

Racing Louisville W has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Racing Louisville W VS Gotham FC W
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Racing Louisville W

(Home)
03 Oct
Racing Louisville W
1 : 1
Utah Royals W
25 Sept
Racing Louisville W
0 : 2
San Diego Wave W
20 Sept
Bay FC W
2 : 0
Racing Louisville W
11 Sept
Racing Louisville W
1 : 2
Gotham FC W
05 Sept
Racing Louisville W
0 : 2
Angel City W
Page 1 of 6

Gotham FC W

(Away)
04 Oct
Gotham FC W
1 : 1
Angel City W
26 Sept
Gotham FC W
3 : 1
Chicago Stars W
19 Sept
North Carolina Courage W
1 : 2
Gotham FC W
11 Sept
Racing Louisville W
1 : 2
Gotham FC W
06 Sept
Denver Summit W
3 : 0
Gotham FC W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gotham FC W 27 16 7 4 35:21 55
2 San Diego Wave W 27 16 3 8 40:28 51
3 Washington Spirit W 27 15 4 8 39:26 49
4 Utah Royals W 27 14 4 9 44:35 46
5 Kansas City Current W 27 13 5 9 48:38 44
6 Angel City W 27 12 7 8 45:29 43
7 Portland Thorns FC W 27 12 7 8 45:39 43
8 North Carolina Courage W 27 13 3 11 50:39 42
9 Seattle Reign W 27 12 4 11 33:32 40
10 Denver Summit W 27 10 8 9 45:37 38
11 Orlando Pride W 27 10 3 14 36:43 33
12 Houston Dash W 27 8 6 13 34:39 30
13 Boston Legacy W 27 8 5 14 36:46 29
14 Bay FC W 27 7 5 15 28:42 26
15 Racing Louisville W 27 7 3 17 36:52 24
16 Chicago Stars W 27 5 2 20 15:63 17
Promotion - NWSL Women (Play Offs)