Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Racing Louisville W vs Washington Spirit W

USA USA

NWSL Women Lynn Family Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Fischer K.
Assist: Sears E.
43' Event
Sears E.
Assist: Fischer K.
50' Event
Cantore S.
Assist: Kouassi R.

AI Match Summary

The NWSL Women game between Racing Louisville W and Washington Spirit W finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Racing Louisville W
6%
Draws
90%
Washington Spirit W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Washington Spirit W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Washington Spirit W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Washington Spirit W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Racing Louisville W Clean Sheet 10%
Washington Spirit W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Racing Louisville W Washington Spirit W
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 6 16
Draws 6 8
Losses 15 6
Goals Scored 0.63 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 29, 2026 NWSL Women
Washington Spirit W vs Racing Louisville W
1:0
Mar 21, 2026 NWSL Women
Racing Louisville W vs Washington Spirit W
2:2
Nov 8, 2025 NWSL Women
Washington Spirit W vs Racing Louisville W
2:1
Aug 16, 2025 NWSL Women
Washington Spirit W vs Racing Louisville W
2:2
Apr 12, 2025 NWSL Women
Racing Louisville W vs Washington Spirit W
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Racing Louisville W Compare

Top Goalscorer Fischer K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sears E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Washington Spirit W Compare

Top Goalscorer Cantore S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Santos L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Racing Louisville W 10 / 100
Washington Spirit W 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Racing Louisville W Washington Spirit W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick WAS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Racing Louisville W scored in 74% of their last 27 outings.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Washington Spirit W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 30 matches.

Away concern: Washington Spirit W has suffered 1 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Racing Louisville W VS Washington Spirit W
0.63 Goals Scored 2.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1San Diego Wave W1591521:1528
2Washington Spirit W1383222:1027
3Portland Thorns FC W1483324:1427
4Gotham FC W1373315:824
5Utah Royals W1473421:1624
6Kansas City Current W1480621:2024
7North Carolina Courage W1363420:1621
8Orlando Pride W1462621:1920
9Angel City W1361620:1419
10Denver Summit W1243517:1615
11Bay FC W1343613:1915
12Seattle Reign W1242611:1614
13Houston Dash W1342715:2114
14Boston Legacy W1434715:2113
15Chicago Stars W1440108:2812
16Racing Louisville W13211015:267