Sport Picks
Racing Montevideo vs Boston River
Uruguay
Liga AUF Uruguaya Estadio Osvaldo Roberto, Montevideo 
Match Events
11'
11'
Alvarez F.
58'
58'
Sub
Munoa F. In: Siri N.
Out: Munoa F.
58'
58'
Sub
Aristegui F. In: Perez F.
Out: Aristegui F.
AI Match Summary
Racing Montevideo in this Liga AUF Uruguaya matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Racing Montevideo.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
34%
15%
51%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Boston River
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Racing Montevideo have won more games recently than Boston River.
- 51% — that's where the model lands on Boston River taking it.
- Regular Liga AUF Uruguaya form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Racing Montevideo Clean Sheet 19%
Boston River Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Racing Montevideo | Boston River |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 30 |
| Wins | 13 | 10 |
| Draws | 10 | 4 |
| Losses | 5 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.04 | 1.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.86 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 12, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Racing Montevideo vs Boston River
3:2
Aug 2, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Racing Montevideo vs Boston River
1:0
Mar 14, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Boston River vs Racing Montevideo
0:1
Mar 5, 2026 Copa Sudamericana
Boston River vs Racing Montevideo
1:0
Sep 13, 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Racing Montevideo vs Boston River
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Racing Montevideo Compare
Top Goalscorer Alvarez F.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Boston River Compare
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Racing Montevideo 28 / 100
Boston River 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Racing Montevideo Boston River
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Boston River Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Boston River's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.
Racing Montevideo found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).
Games between these two average 1.60 goals.
Boston River's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Racing Montevideo VS Boston River
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Racing Montevideo
(Home) 20 Sept
Liverpool M.
0 : 0 Racing Montevideo
17 Sept
Juventud
3 : 0 Racing Montevideo
12 Sept
Racing Montevideo
3 : 2 Boston River
09 Sept
Racing Montevideo
2 : 4 Central Esp.
06 Sept
CA Cerro
1 : 0 Racing Montevideo
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Racing Montevideo
3 : 2 Boston River
09 Sept
Racing Montevideo
2 : 4 Central Esp.
31 Aug
Racing Montevideo
1 : 0 Albion
15 Aug
Racing Montevideo
2 : 0 Club Nacional
02 Aug
Racing Montevideo
1 : 0 Boston River
Page 1 of 3
Boston River
(Away) 23 Sept
Boston River
3 : 2 Fenix
19 Sept
Boston River
1 : 2 Progreso
12 Sept
Racing Montevideo
3 : 2 Boston River
09 Sept
Boston River
2 : 0 Colon
06 Sept
Liverpool M.
1 : 0 Boston River
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Racing Montevideo
3 : 2 Boston River
06 Sept
Liverpool M.
1 : 0 Boston River
02 Sept
Liverpool M.
0 : 1 Boston River
21 Aug
Albion
2 : 3 Boston River
09 Aug
Club Nacional
1 : 2 Boston River
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12:3 | 16 |
| 2 | Cerro Largo | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7:5 | 11 |
| 3 | Racing Montevideo | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 4:3 | 10 |
| 4 | Liverpool M. | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 5:5 | 9 |
| 5 | Central Esp. | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4:4 | 9 |
| 6 | CA Cerro | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 6:10 | 9 |
| 7 | Defensor Sp. | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:9 | 6 |
| 8 | Boston River | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:10 | 5 |
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya (Torneo Intermedio - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wanderers | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 12:4 | 15 |
| 2 | Club Nacional | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8:8 | 13 |
| 3 | Maldonado | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12:6 | 12 |
| 4 | Montevideo City | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 11:11 | 12 |
| 5 | Juventud | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:11 | 8 |
| 6 | Albion | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:8 | 6 |
| 7 | Progreso | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6:11 | 6 |
| 8 | Danubio | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 5:9 | 4 |
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya (Torneo Intermedio - Play Offs)
