Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Racing Montevideo vs Universitario Salto

Uruguay Uruguay

Copa Uruguay Estadio Osvaldo Roberto, Montevideo
Racing Montevideo Logo

Racing Montevideo

4 - 1
FT
Universitario Salto Logo

Universitario Salto

Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Manzur I.
38'
40' Event
Dos S. U. G. E.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Racing Montevideo in this Copa Uruguay tie, finishing 4-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Racing Montevideo
39%
Draws
30%
Universitario Salto
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Racing Montevideo have won more games recently than Universitario Salto.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Racing Montevideo have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Racing Montevideo, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Racing Montevideo Clean Sheet 26%
Universitario Salto Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Racing Montevideo Universitario Salto
Matches Played 31 7
Wins 14 4
Draws 9 0
Losses 8 3
Goals Scored 1.25 0
Goals Conceded 0.63 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 25, 2025 Copa Uruguay
Racing Montevideo vs Universitario Salto
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Racing Montevideo Compare

Top Goalscorer Manzur I.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Suarez F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Universitario Salto Compare

Top Goalscorer Dos S. U. G. E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Racing Montevideo 33 / 100
Universitario Salto 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Racing Montevideo Universitario Salto

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UNI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Racing Montevideo's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Racing Montevideo has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Universitario Salto lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Racing Montevideo VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Racing Montevideo

(Home)
26 Jul
CA Cerro
1 : 0
Racing Montevideo
12 Jul
Racing Montevideo
1 : 1
Penarol
06 Jun
Central Esp.
1 : 1
Racing Montevideo
30 May
Racing Montevideo
0 : 0
Defensor Sp.
22 May
Liverpool M.
0 : 0
Racing Montevideo
Page 1 of 7

Universitario Salto

(Away)
25 Sept
Racing Montevideo
4 : 1
Universitario Salto
11 Sept
Universitario Salto
7 : 0
CA Florida
26 Aug
Universitario Salto
2 : 0
Wanderers
28 Oct
Universitario Salto
1 : 3
Boston River
06 Sept
Universitario Salto
1 : 3
Wanderers
Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Atletico Arsenal0
Club Oriental De Futbol1
Libertad San Carlos0
Defensor Sp.3
Bella Vista1
Juventud0
Nacional Nueva Helvecia1
Central Esp.3
Rincon1
Cerro Largo2
San Carlos1
Tacuarembo2
Rio Negro SJ0
Penarol3
Durazno1
Liverpool M.3
Paso de la Arena0
Boston River3
Atenas Tala0
Racing Montevideo1
CA Florida3
Atenas1
Universitario Salto2
Wanderers0
Wanderers Durazno2
Plaza Colonia3
Huracan FC1
Club Nacional2
Porongos3
Maldonado2
Paysandu FC0
Albion2
1/8-finals
Club Oriental De Futbol0
Defensor Sp.2
Bella Vista1
Central Esp.2
Cerro Largo0
Tacuarembo1
Penarol2
Liverpool M.1
Boston River0
Racing Montevideo1
CA Florida0
Universitario Salto7
Plaza Colonia2
Club Nacional1
Porongos0
Albion4
Quarter-finals
Defensor Sp.2
Central Esp.0
Tacuarembo1
Penarol2
Racing Montevideo4
Universitario Salto1
Plaza Colonia1
Albion0
Semi-finals
Defensor Sp.0
Penarol2
Racing Montevideo1
Plaza Colonia2
Final
Penarol2
Plaza Colonia0