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Racing Murcia vs Ciudad Cieza

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Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Racing Murcia play Ciudad Cieza in the Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2023/2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Racing Murcia averaged 1 goals scored and 1.57 conceded. Ciudad Cieza averaged 1.86 goals scored and 0.45 conceded. In past meetings, Racing Murcia won 0, Ciudad Cieza won 1, and they drew 3. Their last match on Mar 3, 2024 ended 0:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.79 for Racing Murcia and 1.86 for Ciudad Cieza. This points to a Ciudad Cieza double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Racing Murcia
35%
Draws
43%
Ciudad Cieza
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Ciudad Cieza

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

79% / High Confidence
  • Racing Murcia picked up more points recently compared to Ciudad Cieza.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.79 vs 1.86 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 64%
Over 2.5 Goals 42%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Racing Murcia Clean Sheet 10%
Ciudad Cieza Clean Sheet 18%
First Half Goal 58%
Second Half Goal 61%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Racing Murcia Ciudad Cieza
Matches Played 30 44
Wins 9 27
Draws 6 13
Losses 15 4
Goals Scored 1 1.86
Goals Conceded 1.57 0.45

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 3, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Racing Murcia vs Ciudad Cieza
0:3
Oct 15, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Ciudad Cieza vs Racing Murcia
0:0
Feb 12, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Ciudad Cieza vs Racing Murcia
1:1
Oct 16, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Racing Murcia vs Ciudad Cieza
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Racing Murcia Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Ciudad Cieza Compare

Top Goalscorer Cano A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Garnes F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.39
Avg xA / game 1.46

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Racing Murcia 22 / 100
Ciudad Cieza 42 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Racing Murcia Ciudad Cieza

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Ciudad Cieza or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +57.1%
7.14
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +16.8%
2.78
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Racing Murcia attacking → ← attacking Ciudad Cieza

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Racing Murcia scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Ciudad Cieza let in goals in 41% of their last 44 matches.

Games between these two average 1.25 goals.

Racing Murcia went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Ciudad Cieza lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

33 Points in last 5 94
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 2.63
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Deportiva Minera34246453:1978
2Real Murcia B34208667:3368
3Ciudad Cieza341911444:2468
4UCAM Murcia B341951042:2462
5Caravaca34187960:3261
6Lorca Deportiva34178964:3059
7Molinense341851160:3459
8CA Pulpileno341313839:2352
9Muleno CF341271537:4243
10Racing Murcia341171636:5140
11Plus Ultra341222043:5638
12E.G. El Palmar34991633:5236
13Bullense341061840:6536
14Balsicas Atletico34991635:5336
15Alcantarilla341061834:4136
16Ciudad de Murcia34791828:4330
17CD Algar34781931:6529
18Montecasillas34722531:9023