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Racing Murcia vs Molinense Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Lozano G.
23' Event
Quereda I.
30'
Sub
Navarro A. In: Khalife J.
Out: Navarro A.

AI Match Summary

Molinense in this Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Molinense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Racing Murcia
15%
Draws
85%
Molinense
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Molinense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Molinense lately — more wins on the board than Racing Murcia.
  • Model gives Molinense a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Racing Murcia Clean Sheet 18%
Molinense Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Racing Murcia Molinense
Matches Played 30 44
Wins 9 27
Draws 6 8
Losses 15 9
Goals Scored 1 1.77
Goals Conceded 1.57 0.98
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Racing Murcia vs Molinense
2:4
Dec 17, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Molinense vs Racing Murcia
2:0
Mar 26, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Racing Murcia vs Molinense
2:1
Nov 26, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Molinense vs Racing Murcia
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Racing Murcia Compare

Top Goalscorer Bianco L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Khalife J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Molinense Compare

Top Goalscorer Ballesta M. A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Lozano G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.24
Avg xA / game 0.76

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Racing Murcia 10 / 100
Molinense 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Racing Murcia Molinense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Molinense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Racing Murcia scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Molinense let in goals in 66% of their last 44 matches.

Difficult form: Molinense registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Molinense
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Racing Murcia

(Home)
11 May
Balsicas Atletico
2 : 1
Racing Murcia
04 May
Racing Murcia
0 : 3
Muleno CF
01 May
Ciudad de Murcia
3 : 1
Racing Murcia
27 Apr
Racing Murcia
2 : 4
Molinense
21 Apr
Caravaca
5 : 1
Racing Murcia
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Molinense

(Away)
27 Sept
Molinense
3 : 2
Mazarron FC
20 Sept
Club Olimpico de Totana
1 : 0
Molinense
13 Sept
Molinense
2 : 2
San Javier
06 Sept
FC Cartagena SAD B
2 : 4
Molinense
24 May
Molinense
0 : 2
Club Olimpico de Totana
Page 1 of 9

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Deportiva Minera 34 24 6 4 53:19 78
2 Real Murcia B 34 20 8 6 67:33 68
3 Ciudad Cieza 34 19 11 4 44:24 68
4 UCAM Murcia B 34 19 5 10 42:24 62
5 Caravaca 34 18 7 9 60:32 61
6 Lorca Deportiva 34 17 8 9 64:30 59
7 Molinense 34 18 5 11 60:34 59
8 CA Pulpileno 34 13 13 8 39:23 52
9 Muleno CF 34 12 7 15 37:42 43
10 Racing Murcia 34 11 7 16 36:51 40
11 Plus Ultra 34 12 2 20 43:56 38
12 E.G. El Palmar 34 9 9 16 33:52 36
13 Bullense 34 10 6 18 40:65 36
14 Balsicas Atletico 34 9 9 16 35:53 36
15 Alcantarilla 34 10 6 18 34:41 36
16 Ciudad de Murcia 34 7 9 18 28:43 30
17 CD Algar 34 7 8 19 31:65 29
18 Montecasillas 34 7 2 25 31:90 23
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2023/2024 (Play Offs)