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Racing Power W vs Rio Ave W Prediction & H2H Stats

Portugal Portugal

Taça da Liga Women 2025/2026 Estádio Nacional do Jamor, Lisbon - Oeiras
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Conduto B.
83' Event
Wolfbauer M.
Penalty Missed

AI Match Summary

The Taça da Liga Women 2025/2026 game between Racing Power W and Rio Ave W finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rio Ave W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Racing Power W
30%
Draws
31%
Rio Ave W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Racing Power W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Rio Ave W come out ahead of Racing Power W on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Taça da Liga Women 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Rio Ave W here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
Racing Power W Clean Sheet 68%
Rio Ave W Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Racing Power W Rio Ave W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 6 8
Draws 9 8
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 0.83 0.79
Goals Conceded 1.28 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2026 Liga BPI Women
Rio Ave W vs Racing Power W
1:0
Jan 14, 2026 Taça da Liga Women
Racing Power W vs Rio Ave W
0:1
Sep 21, 2025 Liga BPI Women
Racing Power W vs Rio Ave W
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Racing Power W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Rio Ave W Compare

Top Goalscorer Conduto B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Racing Power W 41 / 100
Rio Ave W 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Racing Power W Rio Ave W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Racing Power W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rio Ave W let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

Racing Power W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Rio Ave W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Racing Power W's goal record stands at 55% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Racing Power W VS Rio Ave W
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Racing Power W

(Home)
27 Sept
FC Porto W
0 : 0
Racing Power W
20 Sept
Racing Power W
1 : 0
Valadares Gaia W
12 Sept
SL Benfica W
3 : 0
Racing Power W
10 May
Sporting W
0 : 0
Racing Power W
03 May
Racing Power W
1 : 2
Braga W
Page 1 of 6

Rio Ave W

(Away)
26 Sept
Valadares Gaia W
1 : 0
Rio Ave W
18 Sept
Rio Ave W
0 : 2
SL Benfica W
13 Sept
Torreense W
3 : 0
Rio Ave W
31 May
Gil Vicente W
0 : 2
Rio Ave W
23 May
Rio Ave W
1 : 1
Gil Vicente W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SL Benfica W 4 3 0 1 10:5 9
2 Valadares Gaia W 4 3 0 1 9:1 9
3 Braga W 4 2 1 1 9:7 7
4 Vitoria Guimaraes W 4 1 0 3 6:8 3
5 Maritimo W 4 0 1 3 4:17 1
Promotion - Taça da Liga Women 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sporting W 4 2 2 0 10:4 8
2 Torreense W 4 2 2 0 5:2 8
3 Rio Ave W 4 2 2 0 4:2 8
4 Racing Power W 4 1 0 3 5:4 3
5 Damaiense W 4 0 0 4 1:13 0
Promotion - Taça da Liga Women 2025/2026 (Play Offs)