Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Racing Power W vs Sporting W

Portugal Portugal

Liga BPI Women 2025/2026 Estádio Nacional do Jamor, Lisbon - Oeiras
Racing Power W Logo

Racing Power W

2 - 3
FT
Sporting W Logo

Sporting W

Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Cancelinha E.
31' Event
Nogueira A.
Assist: Besugo N.
34'
Duah S.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Sporting W in this Liga BPI Women 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sporting W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Racing Power W
35%
Draws
40%
Sporting W
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Sporting W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sporting W lately — more wins on the board than Racing Power W.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Sporting W taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Racing Power W Clean Sheet 19%
Sporting W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Racing Power W Sporting W
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 6 13
Draws 9 10
Losses 14 7
Goals Scored 0.83 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.28 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Liga BPI Women
Sporting W vs Racing Power W
0:0
Jan 31, 2026 Taça da Liga Women
Sporting W vs Racing Power W
2:1
Jan 11, 2026 Liga BPI Women
Racing Power W vs Sporting W
2:3
Mar 16, 2025 Liga BPI Women
Racing Power W vs Sporting W
0:0
Nov 3, 2024 Liga BPI Women
Sporting W vs Racing Power W
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Racing Power W Compare

Top Goalscorer Nogueira A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Sporting W Compare

Top Goalscorer Cancelinha E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Raphino B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Racing Power W 20 / 100
Sporting W 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Racing Power W Sporting W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sporting W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sporting W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Racing Power W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Racing Power W scored in 55% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Racing Power W VS Sporting W
0.75 Goals Scored 1.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Racing Power W

(Home)
27 Sept
FC Porto W
0 : 0
Racing Power W
20 Sept
Racing Power W
1 : 0
Valadares Gaia W
12 Sept
SL Benfica W
3 : 0
Racing Power W
10 May
Sporting W
0 : 0
Racing Power W
03 May
Racing Power W
1 : 2
Braga W
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Sporting W

(Away)
27 Sept
Braga W
0 : 0
Sporting W
23 Sept
Brondby W
4 : 1
Sporting W
18 Sept
Sporting W
5 : 0
Maritimo W
12 Sept
Sporting W
2 : 0
Vitoria Guimaraes W
16 Aug
Sporting W
1 : 1
London City Lionesses W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SL Benfica W 18 15 3 0 58:11 48
2 Sporting W 18 10 5 3 35:16 35
3 Torreense W 18 10 2 6 29:22 32
4 Valadares Gaia W 18 7 5 6 21:22 26
5 Braga W 18 6 6 6 26:21 24
6 Vitoria Guimaraes W 18 4 9 5 16:23 21
7 Racing Power W 18 4 6 8 16:23 18
8 Rio Ave W 18 4 5 9 10:18 17
9 Maritimo W 18 4 2 12 19:40 14
10 Damaiense W 18 2 5 11 17:51 11
Promotion - UEFA Champions League Women (League phase)
Promotion - UEFA Champions League Women (Qualification - First stage)
Relegation - Liga BPI Women 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)