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Racing vs Al Ghazieh

Lebanon Lebanon

Premier League 2024/2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Racing play Al Ghazieh in the Premier League 2024/2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Racing averaged 0.53 goals scored and 2.53 conceded. Al Ghazieh averaged 0.9 goals scored and 1.73 conceded. In past meetings, Racing won 3, Al Ghazieh won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jun 14, 2025 ended 0:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.85 for Racing and 2.19 for Al Ghazieh. This points to a Al Ghazieh double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Racing
16%
Draws
46%
Al Ghazieh
Draw rate projection: 16% Favored: Al Ghazieh

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence
  • Racing picked up more points recently compared to Al Ghazieh.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.85 vs 2.19 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 60%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 60%
Over 3.5 Goals 36%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 42%
Racing Clean Sheet 10%
Al Ghazieh Clean Sheet 17%
First Half Goal 74%
Second Half Goal 78%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Racing Al Ghazieh
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 4 4
Draws 2 8
Losses 26 18
Goals Scored 0.53 0.9
Goals Conceded 2.53 1.73

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 14, 2025 Premier League
Racing vs Al Ghazieh
0:4
May 14, 2025 Premier League
Racing vs Al Ghazieh
2:1
Apr 12, 2025 Premier League
Al Ghazieh vs Racing
1:2
Feb 6, 2025 Premier League
Racing vs Al Ghazieh
1:1
Aug 27, 2023 Premier League
Al Ghazieh vs Racing
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Racing Compare

Top Goalscorer Chehade E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kazan J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Al Ghazieh Compare

Top Goalscorer Mazen J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Racing 36 / 100
Al Ghazieh 45 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Racing Al Ghazieh

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Al Ghazieh or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26.5%
3.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.85
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Racing attacking → ← attacking Al Ghazieh

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Racing scored in 38% of their last 32 games.

Al Ghazieh let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Racing went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Al Ghazieh lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

14 Points in last 5 20
0.50 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
3.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00