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Racing vs Al Riyadi Abbasiyah

Lebanon Lebanon

Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Akuka I.
Assist: Farhat S.
56' Event
Farhat S.
74' Event
Farhat S.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Racing and Al Riyadi Abbasiyah finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al Riyadi Abbasiyah.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Racing
6%
Draws
90%
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Al Riyadi Abbasiyah

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Al Riyadi Abbasiyah carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Al Riyadi Abbasiyah a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Al Riyadi Abbasiyah here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
Racing Clean Sheet 12%
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Racing Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
Matches Played 31 33
Wins 2 11
Draws 2 8
Losses 27 14
Goals Scored 0 0.63
Goals Conceded 2.88 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.88 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 13, 2026 Premier League
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah vs Racing
4:0
Jul 2, 2026 Premier League
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah vs Racing
2:0
Dec 28, 2025 Premier League
Racing vs Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
1:3
Jul 1, 2025 Premier League
Racing vs Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
1:4
May 31, 2025 Premier League
Racing vs Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Racing Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Al Riyadi Abbasiyah Compare

Top Goalscorer Farhat S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Akuka I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Racing 10 / 100
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Racing Al Riyadi Abbasiyah

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Al Riyadi Abbasiyah let in goals in 64% of their last 33 matches.

Racing scored in 32% of their last 31 games.

Al Riyadi Abbasiyah lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Racing VS Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
0 Goals Scored 0.63
2.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Ansar21172253:953
2Nejmeh SC21144342:1046
3Al Ahed21131734:2240
4Jwayya SC21115531:1438
5Safa21113730:1736
6Al Hikma2193929:2730
7Al Sahel2176822:2127
8Al-Mabarrah2157912:3622
9Al Riyadi Abbasiyah21551116:3020
10Tadamon21381012:2617
11Racing2101204:611
12Bourj113178:2010