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Radcliffe vs Chorley - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

National League North
Tue, Oct 27, 2026
VS
07:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Radcliffe host Chorley in the National League North. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Recent numbers: Radcliffe at 1.32 goals for, 1.93 against; Chorley at 1.17 for, 1.38 against. Head-to-head, Radcliffe have won 3 to Chorley's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Feb 14, 2026, ending 0:1. xG projections (1.69 - 1.69) back Radcliffe to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Radcliffe
15%
Draws
37%
Chorley
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Radcliffe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Radcliffe at 1.32 per game, Chorley at 1.17.
  • 48% — that's where the model lands on Radcliffe taking it.
  • Regular National League North form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Radcliffe Clean Sheet 13%
Chorley Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Radcliffe Chorley
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 9 9
Draws 2 6
Losses 17 14
Goals Scored 1.32 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2026 National League North
Chorley vs Radcliffe
0:1
Nov 8, 2025 National League North
Radcliffe vs Chorley
2:2
Apr 21, 2025 National League North
Chorley vs Radcliffe
5:0
Feb 18, 2025 National League North
Radcliffe vs Chorley
2:0
Sep 12, 2020 Club Friendly
Radcliffe vs Chorley
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Radcliffe 57 / 100
Chorley 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Radcliffe Chorley

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Radcliffe Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Chorley conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Radcliffe found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (28 games).

Radcliffe went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Radcliffe VS Chorley
1.88 Goals Scored 1.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Radcliffe

(Home)
24 Oct
Brackley
0 : 1
Radcliffe
17 Oct
Southport
0 : 2
Radcliffe
10 Oct
Radcliffe
4 : 1
Scarborough Athletic
26 Sept
Hednesford
4 : 1
Radcliffe
19 Sept
Marine
3 : 2
Radcliffe
Page 1 of 6

Chorley

(Away)
24 Oct
Chorley
2 : 3
Buxton
20 Oct
Worcester
1 : 0
Chorley
17 Oct
Chorley
1 : 1
Worcester
10 Oct
Chorley
2 : 1
Telford
03 Oct
Barton Town
1 : 4
Chorley
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hereford 12 8 2 2 24:7 26
2 Oxford City 12 7 3 2 22:8 24
3 Macclesfield 12 7 3 2 18:11 24
4 South Shields 12 7 2 3 21:18 23
5 King’s Lynn 13 6 3 4 22:16 21
6 Hednesford 13 6 3 4 23:19 21
7 Chester 12 6 2 4 15:12 20
8 Buxton 13 6 2 5 23:23 20
9 Bedford 12 6 1 5 16:16 19
10 Hebburn Town 13 5 4 4 18:23 19
11 Morecambe 12 5 2 5 18:12 17
12 Spalding United 12 5 2 5 14:11 17
13 Chorley 12 5 2 5 20:21 17
14 Worksop 13 5 2 6 15:20 17
15 Marine 12 5 1 6 14:13 16
16 Harborough 12 4 4 4 12:13 16
17 Scarborough Athletic 13 4 3 6 19:18 15
18 Merthyr Town 13 3 6 4 15:16 15
19 Radcliffe 13 5 0 8 16:21 15
20 Brackley 13 4 3 6 15:24 15
21 Telford 13 3 4 6 13:20 13
22 Darlington FC 13 3 2 8 17:24 11
23 Southport 13 2 4 7 13:23 10
24 Spennymoor 12 1 4 7 12:26 7
Promotion - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League North (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League North (Play Offs)