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Radcliffe vs Merthyr Town - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

National League North
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Radcliffe host Merthyr Town in the National League North. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Radcliffe at 1.32 goals for, 1.93 against; Merthyr Town at 1.36 for, 1.54 against. Past meetings favor Radcliffe slightly — 1-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 7, 2026, ending 1:3. Model xG sits at 1.44 vs 1.25, favoring Merthyr Town. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Radcliffe
20%
Draws
15%
Merthyr Town
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Radcliffe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Radcliffe come out ahead of Merthyr Town on wins alone.
  • Radcliffe are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Radcliffe Clean Sheet 19%
Merthyr Town Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Radcliffe Merthyr Town
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 9 7
Draws 2 9
Losses 17 12
Goals Scored 1.32 1.36
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.54
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 National League North
Radcliffe vs Merthyr Town
1:3
Sep 20, 2025 National League North
Merthyr Town vs Radcliffe
0:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Radcliffe 76 / 100
Merthyr Town 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Radcliffe Merthyr Town

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Radcliffe Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Merthyr Town conceded in 82% of 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 4.50 goals per match.

Radcliffe scored in 64% of their last 28 games.

Radcliffe has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Radcliffe VS Merthyr Town
1.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Radcliffe

(Home)
24 Oct
Brackley
0 : 1
Radcliffe
17 Oct
Southport
0 : 2
Radcliffe
10 Oct
Radcliffe
4 : 1
Scarborough Athletic
26 Sept
Hednesford
4 : 1
Radcliffe
19 Sept
Marine
3 : 2
Radcliffe
Page 1 of 6

Merthyr Town

(Away)
24 Oct
Merthyr Town
1 : 3
Morecambe
17 Oct
Merthyr Town
1 : 1
King’s Lynn
10 Oct
Darlington FC
1 : 1
Merthyr Town
26 Sept
Merthyr Town
1 : 2
Marine
22 Sept
Truro
2 : 0
Merthyr Town
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hereford 12 8 2 2 24:7 26
2 Oxford City 12 7 3 2 22:8 24
3 Macclesfield 12 7 3 2 18:11 24
4 South Shields 12 7 2 3 21:18 23
5 King’s Lynn 13 6 3 4 22:16 21
6 Hednesford 13 6 3 4 23:19 21
7 Chester 12 6 2 4 15:12 20
8 Buxton 13 6 2 5 23:23 20
9 Bedford 12 6 1 5 16:16 19
10 Hebburn Town 13 5 4 4 18:23 19
11 Morecambe 12 5 2 5 18:12 17
12 Spalding United 12 5 2 5 14:11 17
13 Chorley 12 5 2 5 20:21 17
14 Worksop 13 5 2 6 15:20 17
15 Marine 12 5 1 6 14:13 16
16 Harborough 12 4 4 4 12:13 16
17 Scarborough Athletic 13 4 3 6 19:18 15
18 Merthyr Town 13 3 6 4 15:16 15
19 Radcliffe 13 5 0 8 16:21 15
20 Brackley 13 4 3 6 15:24 15
21 Telford 13 3 4 6 13:20 13
22 Darlington FC 13 3 2 8 17:24 11
23 Southport 13 2 4 7 13:23 10
24 Spennymoor 12 1 4 7 12:26 7
Promotion - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League North (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League North (Play Offs)