Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Rade vs Sarpsborg 08 2

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 6
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Langsaether M.
33' Event
Mayonga M.
38' Event
Gueye B.

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 6 game between Rade and Sarpsborg 08 2 finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rade.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Rade
20%
Draws
23%
Sarpsborg 08 2
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Rade

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Rade come out ahead of Sarpsborg 08 2 on wins alone.
  • Rade are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Rade Clean Sheet 10%
Sarpsborg 08 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rade Sarpsborg 08 2
Matches Played 25 29
Wins 12 5
Draws 3 6
Losses 10 18
Goals Scored 2.72 1.72
Goals Conceded 1.6 2.34
Expected Goals (xG) 3.19 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 26, 2026 Division 3 - Group 6
Rade vs Sarpsborg 08 2
5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rade Compare

Top Goalscorer Langsaether M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Lajqi A.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.45
Avg xA / game 1.59

Sarpsborg 08 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Gueye B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rade 65 / 100
Sarpsborg 08 2 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rade Sarpsborg 08 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rade Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rade scored in 80% of their last 25 games.

Sarpsborg 08 2's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 6.00 goals as a typical output.

Rade went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rade VS Sarpsborg 08 2
3.75 Goals Scored 2
2.38 Goals Conceded 2.63
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Rade

(Home)
22 Aug
Rade
1 : 2
Follo
15 Aug
Rade
3 : 2
Drobak-Frogn
09 Aug
Raelingen
1 : 1
Rade
01 Aug
Rade
8 : 1
Bjorkelangen
25 Jul
Gjovik-Lyn
0 : 3
Rade
Page 1 of 5

Sarpsborg 08 2

(Away)
17 Aug
Fram
3 : 0
Sarpsborg 08 2
09 Aug
Sarpsborg 08 2
11 : 0
Brumunddal
03 Aug
Oppsal
2 : 2
Sarpsborg 08 2
27 Jul
Sarpsborg 08 2
2 : 3
Orn
25 Jun
Bjorkelangen
2 : 0
Sarpsborg 08 2
Page 1 of 6