Sport Picks
Match Events
45'
45'
Mzoughi R.
AI Match Summary
Oued Ellil in this Ligue 2 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Oued Ellil.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
30%
37%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Oued Ellil
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
37%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Oued Ellil lately — more wins on the board than Rades.
- 37% — that's where the model lands on Oued Ellil taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Rades Clean Sheet 12%
Oued Ellil Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Rades | Oued Ellil |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 2 | 8 |
| Draws | 10 | 9 |
| Losses | 18 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 0.6 | 0.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.9 | 1.17 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.75 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 26, 2025 Ligue 2
Rades vs Oued Ellil
0:1
Dec 14, 2024 Ligue 2
Oued Ellil vs Rades
2:2
May 31, 2024 Ligue 2
Oued Ellil vs Rades
1:0
Dec 16, 2023 Ligue 2
Rades vs Oued Ellil
0:0
May 7, 2023 Ligue 2
Oued Ellil vs Rades
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Rades Compare
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38
Oued Ellil Compare
Top Goalscorer Mzoughi R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Rades 19 / 100
Oued Ellil 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Rades Oued Ellil
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Oued Ellil Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Oued Ellil let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.
Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.
Solid form: Rades remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Attacking prowess: Rades scored in 50% of their last 30 outings.
Scoring Trends
Rades VS Oued Ellil
0.75 Goals Scored 0.75
2.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Rades
(Home) 08 Feb
BS Bouhajla
3 : 0 Rades
24 May
Rades
1 : 1 Moknine
17 May
Hamam-Sousse
0 : 1 Rades
10 May
Rades
1 : 0 Menzel Bourguiba
04 May
AS Marsa
3 : 0 Rades
Page 1 of 6
24 May
Rades
1 : 1 Moknine
10 May
Rades
1 : 0 Menzel Bourguiba
26 Apr
Rades
0 : 1 Oued Ellil
19 Apr
Rades
1 : 8 Megrine
05 Apr
Rades
0 : 2 Kerkennah
Page 1 of 3
Oued Ellil
(Away) 08 Feb
Sahline
2 : 1 Oued Ellil
24 May
Kalaa
2 : 2 Oued Ellil
17 May
Oued Ellil
2 : 1 EM Mahdia
10 May
Ariana
0 : 1 Oued Ellil
05 May
Oued Ellil
1 : 1 Hammam-Lif
Page 1 of 6
08 Feb
Sahline
2 : 1 Oued Ellil
24 May
Kalaa
2 : 2 Oued Ellil
10 May
Ariana
0 : 1 Oued Ellil
26 Apr
Rades
0 : 1 Oued Ellil
19 Apr
Korba
2 : 0 Oued Ellil
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AS Marsa | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 40:17 | 53 |
| 2 | Megrine | 26 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 49:23 | 52 |
| 3 | Jendouba Sport | 26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 38:19 | 49 |
| 4 | Hamam-Sousse | 26 | 8 | 12 | 6 | 36:28 | 36 |
| 5 | Korba | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 22:28 | 36 |
| 6 | Hammam-Lif | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 25:26 | 34 |
| 7 | Msaken | 26 | 7 | 12 | 7 | 18:17 | 33 |
| 8 | Ariana | 26 | 10 | 3 | 13 | 33:33 | 33 |
| 9 | Kalaa | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 30:34 | 31 |
| 10 | EM Mahdia | 26 | 9 | 4 | 13 | 26:37 | 31 |
| 11 | Moknine | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 27:30 | 30 |
| 12 | Menzel Bourguiba | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 18:27 | 30 |
| 13 | Oued Ellil | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 23:32 | 27 |
| 14 | Rades | 26 | 2 | 8 | 16 | 16:50 | 14 |
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 2025/2026 (Main)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | JS Kairouan | 26 | 15 | 9 | 2 | 30:11 | 54 |
| 2 | Kasserine | 26 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 36:17 | 53 |
| 3 | Kerkennah | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 36:21 | 44 |
| 4 | Sfax Railways | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 35:22 | 44 |
| 5 | PS Sakiet Eddaier | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 32:23 | 44 |
| 6 | BS Bouhajla | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 21:22 | 33 |
| 7 | Redeyef | 26 | 10 | 3 | 13 | 23:25 | 33 |
| 8 | Djelma | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 26:26 | 32 |
| 9 | Sidi Bouzid | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 27:28 | 32 |
| 10 | Chebba | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 24:29 | 32 |
| 11 | Stade Gabesien | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 13:23 | 30 |
| 12 | AS Agareb | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 23:35 | 30 |
| 13 | ES Jerba | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 15:24 | 26 |
| 14 | Espoir Rogba | 26 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 19:54 | 13 |
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 2025/2026 (Main)
