Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Radnicki Obrenovac vs Jedinstvo Surcin

Serbia Serbia

Srpska Liga - Belgrade 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Radnicki Obrenovac in this Srpska Liga - Belgrade 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Radnicki Obrenovac.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Radnicki Obrenovac
15%
Draws
20%
Jedinstvo Surcin
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Radnicki Obrenovac

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Radnicki Obrenovac have won more games recently than Jedinstvo Surcin.
  • 65% — that's where the model lands on Radnicki Obrenovac taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Radnicki Obrenovac Clean Sheet 16%
Jedinstvo Surcin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Radnicki Obrenovac Jedinstvo Surcin
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 17 12
Draws 5 3
Losses 6 14
Goals Scored 2.43 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Srpska Liga - Belgrade
Radnicki Obrenovac vs Jedinstvo Surcin
3:1
Nov 2, 2025 Srpska Liga - Belgrade
Jedinstvo Surcin vs Radnicki Obrenovac
0:2
Mar 9, 2025 Srpska Liga - Belgrade
Jedinstvo Surcin vs Radnicki Obrenovac
2:1
Aug 24, 2024 Srpska Liga - Belgrade
Radnicki Obrenovac vs Jedinstvo Surcin
3:3
Apr 21, 2024 Srpska Liga - Belgrade
Jedinstvo Surcin vs Radnicki Obrenovac
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Radnicki Obrenovac 84 / 100
Jedinstvo Surcin 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Radnicki Obrenovac Jedinstvo Surcin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Radnicki Obrenovac Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Radnicki Obrenovac's goal record stands at 89% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Jedinstvo Surcin's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Radnicki Obrenovac stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Radnicki Obrenovac VS Jedinstvo Surcin
2.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Radnicki Obrenovac

(Home)
18 Sept
Usce
1 : 3
Radnicki Obrenovac
13 Sept
Radnicki Obrenovac
3 : 0
Padinska Skela
06 Sept
Radnicki Obrenovac
2 : 1
BASK
30 Aug
Nika Lepusnica
2 : 1
Radnicki Obrenovac
23 Aug
Radnicki Obrenovac
1 : 1
Polet Dorcol
Page 1 of 6

Jedinstvo Surcin

(Away)
19 Sept
Jedinstvo Surcin
1 : 5
Bezanija
12 Sept
Prva Iskra
2 : 1
Jedinstvo Surcin
05 Sept
Jedinstvo Surcin
0 : 2
Brodarac
28 Aug
BASK
1 : 3
Jedinstvo Surcin
22 Aug
Bacevac
2 : 1
Jedinstvo Surcin
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Teleoptik 26 21 5 0 77:23 68
2 Radnicki Obrenovac 26 17 4 5 70:40 55
3 Torlak 26 14 5 7 59:30 47
4 Brodarac 26 12 6 8 43:29 42
5 Padinska Skela 26 10 7 9 31:32 37
6 Jedinstvo Surcin 26 10 6 10 25:30 36
7 Buducnost Dobanovci 26 9 9 8 35:32 36
8 Nika Lepusnica 26 9 9 8 43:24 36
9 Prva Iskra 26 9 6 11 38:39 33
10 Polet Dorcol 26 9 5 12 36:40 32
11 Zvezdara 26 9 5 12 33:45 32
12 BASK 26 8 6 12 27:31 29
13 Radnicki Beograd 26 4 7 15 25:53 18
14 Kolubara 26 1 0 25 9:103 3
Promotion - Mozzart Bet Prva Liga (Main)
Relegation - Srpska Liga - Belgrade 2025/2026 (Relegation)