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Radnik Surdulica vs Macva Sabac - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Serbia Serbia

Mozzart Bet Super Liga EFBET Stadion, Surdulica
Our Tip

Match Events

24'
Ilic V.
25' Event
Pejovic A.
43'
Sonha T.

AI Match Summary

Radnik Surdulica in this Mozzart Bet Super Liga matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Radnik Surdulica.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Radnik Surdulica
35%
Draws
30%
Macva Sabac
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Macva Sabac have won more games recently than Radnik Surdulica.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Radnik Surdulica taking it.
  • Regular Mozzart Bet Super Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Radnik Surdulica have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Radnik Surdulica Clean Sheet 20%
Macva Sabac Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Radnik Surdulica Macva Sabac
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 8 9
Draws 14 7
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 1.21 0.89
Goals Conceded 1.46 1.15
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Mozzart Bet Super Liga
Radnik Surdulica vs Macva Sabac
2:1
Apr 28, 2025 Mozzart Bet Prva Liga
Radnik Surdulica vs Macva Sabac
4:0
Dec 8, 2024 Mozzart Bet Prva Liga
Radnik Surdulica vs Macva Sabac
1:0
Aug 25, 2024 Mozzart Bet Prva Liga
Macva Sabac vs Radnik Surdulica
1:0
Apr 29, 2021 Mozzart Bet Super Liga
Macva Sabac vs Radnik Surdulica
0:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Radnik Surdulica Compare

Top Goalscorer Pejovic A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Quarshie E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Macva Sabac Compare

Top Goalscorer Pejovic L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Radnik Surdulica 42 / 100
Macva Sabac 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Radnik Surdulica Macva Sabac

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Radnik Surdulica scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Solid form: Radnik Surdulica remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Macva Sabac has conceded goals in 59% of their last 27 outings.

Scoring Trends

Radnik Surdulica VS Macva Sabac
1.13 Goals Scored 0.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Radnik Surdulica

(Home)
19 Sept
Radnik Surdulica
4 : 4
Partizan
14 Sept
Zemun
1 : 1
Radnik Surdulica
10 Sept
Radnik Surdulica
0 : 0
Crvena zvezda
05 Sept
Radnik Surdulica
3 : 1
Cukaricki
29 Aug
Zeleznicar Pancevo
5 : 1
Radnik Surdulica
Page 1 of 6

Macva Sabac

(Away)
20 Sept
Macva Sabac
1 : 2
Mladost Lucani
11 Sept
Zeleznicar Pancevo
2 : 0
Macva Sabac
05 Sept
Macva Sabac
0 : 0
Radnicki 1923
29 Aug
Novi Pazar
1 : 1
Macva Sabac
22 Aug
Macva Sabac
1 : 0
Radnicki Nis
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crvena zvezda 10 9 1 0 24:3 28
2 Vojvodina 10 7 1 2 21:10 22
3 Radnicki 1923 9 5 2 2 17:9 17
4 Mladost Lucani 10 4 4 2 10:12 16
5 IMT Novi Beograd 10 4 3 3 12:7 15
6 Zeleznicar Pancevo 9 4 2 3 14:10 14
7 Radnik Surdulica 10 3 5 2 14:15 14
8 Novi Pazar 10 3 4 3 10:11 13
9 Cukaricki 10 3 2 5 12:18 11
10 OFK Beograd Mozzart Bet 10 2 3 5 13:21 9
11 Partizan 9 2 2 5 17:19 8
12 Radnicki Nis 9 2 2 5 6:11 8
13 Macva Sabac 10 2 2 6 6:17 8
14 Zemun 10 0 3 7 6:19 3
Promotion - Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group)
Relegation - Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Relegation Group)