Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Radnor Valley vs Cardiff Draconians - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

FAW Welsh Cup
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the FAW Welsh Cup. Cardiff Draconians go into this one as the clear favorite. Recent numbers: Radnor Valley at 1 goals for, 3.67 against; Cardiff Draconians at 1.75 for, 2 against. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. Model xG sits at 1.60 vs 1.24, favoring Cardiff Draconians. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Radnor Valley
15%
Draws
85%
Cardiff Draconians
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cardiff Draconians

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Cardiff Draconians have won more games recently than Radnor Valley.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Cardiff Draconians taking it.
  • Cardiff Draconians arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Radnor Valley Clean Sheet 19%
Cardiff Draconians Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Radnor Valley Cardiff Draconians
Matches Played 3 28
Wins 0 9
Draws 0 4
Losses 3 15
Goals Scored 1 1.75
Goals Conceded 3.67 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Radnor Valley 12 / 100
Cardiff Draconians 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Radnor Valley Cardiff Draconians

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cardiff Draconians Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Cardiff Draconians conceded in 86% of 28 recent games.

Radnor Valley scored in 67% of their last 3 games.

Away concern: Cardiff Draconians has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Radnor Valley VS Cardiff Draconians
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 2
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Radnor Valley

(Home)
01 Jul
Caersws FC
5 : 2
Radnor Valley
16 Sept
Radnor Valley
0 : 4
Gresford
20 Oct
Radnor Valley
1 : 2
Goytre AFC

Cardiff Draconians

(Away)
03 Oct
Cardiff Draconians
1 : 1
Newport City
26 Sept
Cardiff Draconians
1 : 3
Caerau Ely
12 Sept
Cardiff Draconians
2 : 1
Baglan Dragons
22 Aug
Cardiff Draconians
4 : 2
Llanelli
15 Aug
Cardiff Draconians
1 : 4
Pontypridd United
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Airbus UK Broughton FC -
TNS -
Coedpoeth -
Guilsfield -
Llannefydd -
Llandudno FC -
Newtown -
Llanuwchllyn -
Bala -
Holyhead -
Connahs Q. -
Porthmadog -
Penycae FC -
Dolgellau Athletic -
Aberystwyth -
Prestatyn -
Flint Town -
Caernarfon -
Llay Welfare -
Holywell Town FC -
Buckley -
Colwyn Bay -
Brickfield Rangers -
Llangefni -
Denbigh -
Bangor 1876 -
Cefn Albion -
Felinheli -
Llysfaen -
Mochdre Sports -
Pontarddulais -
Goytre Utd -
Trefelin -
Llantwit Major -
Afan Lido -
Penybont -
Caerau Ely -
Llanelli -
Blaen-y-Maes -
Ely Rangers -
Radnor Valley -
Cardiff Draconians -
Barry Town -
Tredegar Town -
Cwmaman Institute -
Ammanford Town -
Llangennech -
Pontardawe -
Caerphilly -
Chepstow Town -
Evans Williams -
Rockspur -
Briton Ferry -
Afan United -
Llantwit Fardre -
Baglan Dragons -
Cardiff Metropolitan University -
Ynyshir Albions -
Cambrian United -
Trethomas Bluebirds -
Carmarthen Town -
Newport City -
Haverfordwest -
Cardiff Corries -
1/16-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
1/8-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -