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Ragsved vs Smedby - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ragsved host Smedby in the Division 2 - Södra Svealand. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Ragsved have averaged 1.8 scored and 1.67 conceded recently, against Smedby's 2.03 scored and 1.58 conceded. Head-to-head, Ragsved have won 4 to Smedby's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on May 9, 2026, ending 0:2. The numbers (1.25 xG vs 1.38) point toward Ragsved. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Ragsved
30%
Draws
12%
Smedby
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ragsved

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Smedby carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Ragsved a 58% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Division 2 - Södra Svealand form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Ragsved have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Ragsved Clean Sheet 17%
Smedby Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ragsved Smedby
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 12 15
Draws 6 7
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.8 2.03
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.58
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Smedby vs Ragsved
0:2
Aug 2, 2025 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Smedby vs Ragsved
1:2
May 17, 2025 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Ragsved vs Smedby
4:1
Sep 9, 2023 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Ragsved vs Smedby
2:1
May 13, 2023 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Smedby vs Ragsved
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ragsved 84 / 100
Smedby 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ragsved Smedby

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ragsved Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ragsved scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Smedby's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 31 matches.

Ragsved has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ragsved VS Smedby
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ragsved

(Home)
03 Oct
Eker Orebro
1 : 3
Ragsved
26 Sept
Ragsved
2 : 2
Orebro Syrianska
19 Sept
Nacka FC
1 : 0
Ragsved
12 Sept
Lindo FF
1 : 2
Ragsved
04 Sept
Ragsved
2 : 1
Haninge
Page 1 of 6

Smedby

(Away)
02 Oct
Smedby
1 : 1
Nykopings
27 Sept
Haninge
2 : 1
Smedby
19 Sept
Smedby
0 : 1
Fittja IF
12 Sept
Farsta
3 : 0
Smedby
05 Sept
Nacka FC
1 : 1
Smedby
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Farsta 24 14 4 6 49:26 46
2 Sleipner 24 13 6 5 49:36 45
3 Forward 24 13 5 6 45:29 44
4 Nykopings 24 13 4 7 39:23 43
5 Haninge 24 13 4 7 58:45 43
6 Ragsved 24 11 6 7 45:37 39
7 Smedby 24 10 6 8 41:33 36
8 Fittja IF 24 10 3 11 37:38 33
9 Karlslund 24 8 7 9 37:38 31
10 Orebro Syrianska 24 8 4 12 27:29 28
11 Syrianska 24 7 5 12 38:52 26
12 Nacka FC 24 7 3 14 26:45 24
13 Lindo FF 24 6 2 16 32:50 20
14 Eker Orebro 24 4 3 17 29:71 15
Promotion - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Södra Svealand (Relegation)