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Stadium Background

Rahmatgonj MFS vs Mohammedan - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bangladesh Bangladesh

Federation Cup 2025/2026 Munshiganj Stadium, Munshigonj
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Jewel M.
53' Event
Jewel M.
76' Event
Dewan S.

AI Match Summary

Mohammedan in this Federation Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 0-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Rahmatgonj MFS
30%
Draws
42%
Mohammedan
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Mohammedan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Mohammedan have won more games recently than Rahmatgonj MFS.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Mohammedan taking it.
  • Mohammedan arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Mohammedan, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Rahmatgonj MFS Clean Sheet 14%
Mohammedan Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rahmatgonj MFS Mohammedan
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 9 13
Draws 11 7
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.17 1.86
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.04
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2026 BFL
Rahmatgonj MFS vs Mohammedan
1:0
May 5, 2026 Federation Cup
Rahmatgonj MFS vs Mohammedan
0:3
Dec 27, 2025 BFL
Mohammedan vs Rahmatgonj MFS
1:1
May 21, 2025 BFL
Mohammedan vs Rahmatgonj MFS
3:4
Jan 10, 2025 BFL
Rahmatgonj MFS vs Mohammedan
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rahmatgonj MFS Compare

Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

Mohammedan Compare

Top Goalscorer Jewel M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Dewan S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rahmatgonj MFS 15 / 100
Mohammedan 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rahmatgonj MFS Mohammedan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mohammedan Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Rahmatgonj MFS found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).

Mohammedan's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 28 matches.

Recent resilience: Rahmatgonj MFS stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rahmatgonj MFS VS Mohammedan
0.5 Goals Scored 2
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
38% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Rahmatgonj MFS

(Home)
03 Oct
Arambagh
2 : 2
Rahmatgonj MFS
23 Sept
Brothers U.
0 : 0
Rahmatgonj MFS
18 Sept
Bangladesh Police
1 : 0
Rahmatgonj MFS
23 May
Rahmatgonj MFS
0 : 0
Bangladesh Police
15 May
Rahmatgonj MFS
1 : 0
Mohammedan
Page 1 of 6

Mohammedan

(Away)
06 Oct
Mohammedan
3 : 1
Arambagh
02 Oct
Fakirerpool YMC
0 : 1
Mohammedan
23 May
Mohammedan
5 : 0
Brothers U.
20 May
Bashundara Kings
3 : 2
Mohammedan
15 May
Rahmatgonj MFS
1 : 0
Mohammedan
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Brothers U. 0
Bashundara Kings 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rahmatgonj MFS 0
Mohammedan 3
Semi-finals
Bashundara Kings -
TBD -
Brothers U. 1
Mohammedan 2
Final
Bashundara Kings 3
Mohammedan 2