Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Rain/Lech in this Oberliga Bayern Süd 2016/2017 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Rain/Lech.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
73%
15%
12%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rain/Lech
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
73%
/ High Confidence
- Rain/Lech have won more games recently than Bogen.
- Model gives Rain/Lech a 73% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Rain/Lech have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Rain/Lech Clean Sheet 18%
Bogen Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Rain/Lech | Bogen |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 35 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 6 |
| Draws | 5 | 4 |
| Losses | 20 | 20 |
| Goals Scored | 1.63 | 0.87 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.34 | 2.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 3.19 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 15, 2017 Oberliga Bayern Süd
Rain/Lech vs Bogen
4:1
Sep 17, 2016 Oberliga Bayern Süd
Bogen vs Rain/Lech
1:6
May 2, 2015 Oberliga Bayern Süd
Bogen vs Rain/Lech
0:2
Sep 27, 2014 Oberliga Bayern Süd
Rain/Lech vs Bogen
0:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Rain/Lech 76 / 100
Bogen 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Rain/Lech Bogen
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Rain/Lech Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Rain/Lech scored in 80% of their last 35 games.
Bogen has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.
These sides typically produce 3.75 goals when they meet.
Difficult form: Bogen registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Rain/Lech VS Bogen
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 5
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 100%
Recent Form & Match History
Rain/Lech
(Home) 17 May
Rain/Lech
2 : 5 Munich 1860 II
10 May
Ismaning
4 : 5 Rain/Lech
03 May
Rain/Lech
5 : 4 Heimstetten
29 Apr
Rain/Lech
0 : 3 TSV Grunwald
25 Apr
TSV Grunwald
3 : 1 Rain/Lech
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17 May
Rain/Lech
2 : 5 Munich 1860 II
03 May
Rain/Lech
5 : 4 Heimstetten
29 Apr
Rain/Lech
0 : 3 TSV Grunwald
19 Apr
Rain/Lech
1 : 3 Landsberg
12 Apr
Rain/Lech
1 : 2 Kirchanschoring
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Bogen
(Away) 08 Feb
Hankofen-Hailing
5 : 0 Bogen
03 Jun
Bogen
1 : 1 SB Chiemgau Traunstein
31 May
SB Chiemgau Traunstein
2 : 0 Bogen
20 May
Bogen
1 : 2 Ismaning
13 May
TSV Schwabmunchen
4 : 0 Bogen
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08 Feb
Hankofen-Hailing
5 : 0 Bogen
31 May
SB Chiemgau Traunstein
2 : 0 Bogen
13 May
TSV Schwabmunchen
4 : 0 Bogen
30 Apr
Regensburg II
3 : 1 Bogen
15 Apr
Rain/Lech
4 : 1 Bogen
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pullach | 34 | 21 | 10 | 3 | 73:32 | 73 |
| 2 | Unterfohring | 34 | 21 | 6 | 7 | 62:42 | 69 |
| 3 | Pipinsried | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 55:38 | 63 |
| 4 | TSV Schwabmunchen | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 54:43 | 60 |
| 5 | Dachau | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 56:49 | 60 |
| 6 | Vilzing | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 47:48 | 52 |
| 7 | Heimstetten | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 68:52 | 52 |
| 8 | Kirchanschoring | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 40:39 | 48 |
| 9 | Sonthofen | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 55:44 | 47 |
| 10 | Rain/Lech | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 64:58 | 46 |
| 11 | Ismaning | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 52:52 | 42 |
| 12 | Kottern-St. Mang | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 64:72 | 39 |
| 13 | Hankofen-Hailing | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 36:57 | 35 |
| 14 | Wolfratshausen | 34 | 10 | 4 | 20 | 44:66 | 34 |
| 15 | Landsberg | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 46:65 | 34 |
| 16 | Regensburg II | 34 | 10 | 3 | 21 | 53:56 | 33 |
| 17 | Bogen | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 34:62 | 31 |
| 18 | Gundelfingen | 34 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 39:67 | 27 |
Relegation - Oberliga Bayern Nord 2016/2017 (Relegation)
Relegation - Oberliga Bayern Nord 2016/2017 (Relegation)
Relegation - Oberliga Bayern Nord 2016/2017 (Relegation)
Relegation - Oberliga Bayern Nord 2016/2017 (Relegation)
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern 2017/2018 (Main)
Promotion - Oberliga Bayern Nord 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
