Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Rain/Lech vs Heimstetten

Germany Germany

Oberliga Bayern Süd 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Kubler S.
17' Event
Celik K.
22' Event
Achir S.

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Bayern Süd 2024/2025 game between Rain/Lech and Heimstetten finished 5-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rain/Lech.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Rain/Lech
30%
Draws
35%
Heimstetten
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Heimstetten carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 35% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Oberliga Bayern Süd 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Rain/Lech Clean Sheet 15%
Heimstetten Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rain/Lech Heimstetten
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 6 11
Draws 5 9
Losses 18 10
Goals Scored 1.34 1.97
Goals Conceded 2.41 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.55
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2025 Oberliga Bayern Süd
Rain/Lech vs Heimstetten
5:4
Oct 5, 2024 Oberliga Bayern Süd
Heimstetten vs Rain/Lech
5:1
Feb 24, 2024 Oberliga Bayern Süd
Rain/Lech vs Heimstetten
1:0
Aug 8, 2023 Oberliga Bayern Süd
Heimstetten vs Rain/Lech
3:0
Mar 17, 2023 Regionalliga Bayern
Heimstetten vs Rain/Lech
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rain/Lech Compare

Top Goalscorer Achir S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Nocke N.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

Heimstetten Compare

Top Goalscorer Celik K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Woudstra J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.41
Avg xA / game 0.86

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rain/Lech 31 / 100
Heimstetten 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rain/Lech Heimstetten

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Heimstetten Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Heimstetten's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.40 goals when they meet.

Rain/Lech scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Rain/Lech has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Rain/Lech VS Heimstetten
0 Goals Scored 2
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Rain/Lech

(Home)
17 May
Rain/Lech
2 : 5
Munich 1860 II
10 May
Ismaning
4 : 5
Rain/Lech
03 May
Rain/Lech
5 : 4
Heimstetten
29 Apr
Rain/Lech
0 : 3
TSV Grunwald
25 Apr
TSV Grunwald
3 : 1
Rain/Lech
Page 1 of 6

Heimstetten

(Away)
18 Sept
Heimstetten
2 : 2
Gundelfingen
11 Sept
TSV 1880 Wasserburg
5 : 1
Heimstetten
04 Sept
Heimstetten
4 : 2
Deisenhofen
28 Aug
Landshut
3 : 3
Heimstetten
25 Aug
Pfaffenhofen
1 : 1
Heimstetten
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Memmingen 32 17 12 3 49:21 63
2 Munich 1860 II 32 18 8 6 64:30 62
3 SV Erlbach 32 16 10 6 33:21 58
4 Pipinsried 32 18 4 10 63:39 58
5 Deisenhofen 32 17 5 10 56:45 56
6 Kottern-St. Mang 32 16 6 10 57:50 54
7 Kirchanschoring 32 15 7 10 57:46 52
8 Landsberg 32 14 2 16 64:41 44
9 Schalding 32 12 8 12 41:47 44
10 Heimstetten 32 12 5 15 78:70 41
11 Nordlingen 32 12 5 15 53:56 41
12 Turkspor Augsburg 32 10 7 15 37:59 37
13 Ismaning 32 9 8 15 35:51 35
14 TSV Grunwald 32 9 6 17 54:78 33
15 Sonthofen 32 9 5 18 39:60 32
16 Unterhaching II 32 8 7 17 32:61 31
17 Rain/Lech 32 5 5 22 39:76 20
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Oberliga Bayern Nord 2024/2025 (Relegation)