Sport Picks
Match Events
51'
51'
Schuster J.
Own Goal
54'
54'
Bechter A.
81'
81'
Ljubicic M.
AI Match Summary
The Oberliga Bayern Süd 2024/2025 game between Rain/Lech and Sonthofen finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sonthofen.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
57%
15%
28%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rain/Lech
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Sonthofen come out ahead of Rain/Lech on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Rain/Lech's way, sitting at 40%.
- Regular Oberliga Bayern Süd 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Rain/Lech here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Rain/Lech Clean Sheet 10%
Sonthofen Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Rain/Lech | Sonthofen |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 6 | 9 |
| Draws | 5 | 4 |
| Losses | 18 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.34 | 1.17 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.41 | 1.79 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 2.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 15, 2025 Oberliga Bayern Süd
Rain/Lech vs Sonthofen
1:3
Aug 23, 2024 Oberliga Bayern Süd
Sonthofen vs Rain/Lech
1:2
Nov 4, 2023 Oberliga Bayern Süd
Sonthofen vs Rain/Lech
0:2
Jul 25, 2023 Oberliga Bayern Süd
Rain/Lech vs Sonthofen
2:1
Nov 24, 2018 Oberliga Bayern Süd
Rain/Lech vs Sonthofen
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Rain/Lech Compare
Top Goalscorer Ljubicic M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84
Sonthofen Compare
Top Goalscorer Bechter A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Lorenz T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Rain/Lech 38 / 100
Sonthofen 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Rain/Lech Sonthofen
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Rain/Lech Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sonthofen has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.
Attacking prowess: Rain/Lech scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Sonthofen lost 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Rain/Lech VS Sonthofen
1.63 Goals Scored 1.13
3.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Rain/Lech
(Home) 17 May
Rain/Lech
2 : 5 Munich 1860 II
10 May
Ismaning
4 : 5 Rain/Lech
03 May
Rain/Lech
5 : 4 Heimstetten
29 Apr
Rain/Lech
0 : 3 TSV Grunwald
25 Apr
TSV Grunwald
3 : 1 Rain/Lech
Page 1 of 6
17 May
Rain/Lech
2 : 5 Munich 1860 II
03 May
Rain/Lech
5 : 4 Heimstetten
29 Apr
Rain/Lech
0 : 3 TSV Grunwald
19 Apr
Rain/Lech
1 : 3 Landsberg
12 Apr
Rain/Lech
1 : 2 Kirchanschoring
Page 1 of 3
Sonthofen
(Away) 02 Jul
Illertissen
2 : 0 Sonthofen
24 May
Sonthofen
1 : 0 TSV Schwabmunchen
21 May
TSV Schwabmunchen
2 : 0 Sonthofen
17 May
Sonthofen
0 : 4 Deisenhofen
03 May
Sonthofen
0 : 1 Memmingen
Page 1 of 6
02 Jul
Illertissen
2 : 0 Sonthofen
21 May
TSV Schwabmunchen
2 : 0 Sonthofen
26 Apr
Kottern-St. Mang
2 : 2 Sonthofen
11 Apr
Munich 1860 II
2 : 0 Sonthofen
29 Mar
Heimstetten
4 : 2 Sonthofen
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Memmingen | 32 | 17 | 12 | 3 | 49:21 | 63 |
| 2 | Munich 1860 II | 32 | 18 | 8 | 6 | 64:30 | 62 |
| 3 | SV Erlbach | 32 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 33:21 | 58 |
| 4 | Pipinsried | 32 | 18 | 4 | 10 | 63:39 | 58 |
| 5 | Deisenhofen | 32 | 17 | 5 | 10 | 56:45 | 56 |
| 6 | Kottern-St. Mang | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 57:50 | 54 |
| 7 | Kirchanschoring | 32 | 15 | 7 | 10 | 57:46 | 52 |
| 8 | Landsberg | 32 | 14 | 2 | 16 | 64:41 | 44 |
| 9 | Schalding | 32 | 12 | 8 | 12 | 41:47 | 44 |
| 10 | Heimstetten | 32 | 12 | 5 | 15 | 78:70 | 41 |
| 11 | Nordlingen | 32 | 12 | 5 | 15 | 53:56 | 41 |
| 12 | Turkspor Augsburg | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 37:59 | 37 |
| 13 | Ismaning | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 35:51 | 35 |
| 14 | TSV Grunwald | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 54:78 | 33 |
| 15 | Sonthofen | 32 | 9 | 5 | 18 | 39:60 | 32 |
| 16 | Unterhaching II | 32 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 32:61 | 31 |
| 17 | Rain/Lech | 32 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 39:76 | 20 |
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Oberliga Bayern Nord 2024/2025 (Relegation)
