Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Raith vs Ayr

Scotland Scotland

Championship 2025/2026 Stark's Park, Kirkcaldy
3 - 0
FT
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Cameron I.
Assist: Stevenson L.
28'
Sub
McAllister N. In: Want S.
Out: McAllister N.
39'
Sub
Hanlon P. In: O'Connor D.
Out: Hanlon P.

AI Match Summary

Raith in this Championship 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Raith.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Raith
20%
Draws
38%
Ayr
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Raith

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Raith lately — more wins on the board than Ayr.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Raith taking it.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Championship 2025/2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Raith Clean Sheet 16%
Ayr Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Raith Ayr
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 13 11
Draws 5 6
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.75 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.25 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 27, 2026 Championship
Raith vs Ayr
3:0
Jan 31, 2026 Championship
Ayr vs Raith
2:1
Oct 11, 2025 Championship
Raith vs Ayr
0:2
Aug 9, 2025 Championship
Ayr vs Raith
0:1
Apr 5, 2025 Championship
Raith vs Ayr
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Raith Compare

Top Goalscorer Cameron I.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Chin R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Ayr Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Raith 41 / 100
Ayr 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Raith Ayr

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Raith scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Ayr let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Raith remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Raith VS Ayr
1.75 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Raith

(Home)
21 Jul
Raith
1 : 0
Peterhead
18 Jul
Hamilton
2 : 1
Raith
14 Jul
Kilmarnock
1 : 0
Raith
11 Jul
Raith
3 : 1
Elgin City
30 Jun
Raith
4 : 0
Edinburgh City
Page 1 of 6

Ayr

(Away)
18 Jul
Ayr
2 : 0
Edinburgh City
14 Jul
Falkirk
0 : 1
Ayr
11 Jul
Stranraer
2 : 3
Ayr
04 Jul
Ayr
2 : 1
Airdrieonians
30 Jun
Ayr
3 : 0
Dumbarton
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1St Johnstone362211367:2577
2Partick361715453:3666
3Arbroath3613131043:4152
4Dunfermline361491352:4151
5Raith361291543:4245
6Queen's Park369141335:4841
7Ayr368151338:4739
8Morton368141436:5238
9Airdrieonians368121635:4936
10Ross County368101836:5734
Promotion - Premiership (Main)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Promotion)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Promotion)
Relegation - Championship 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - League One (Main)