Sport Picks
Raith vs Dunfermline - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Scotland
Championship Stark's Park, Kirkcaldy 
AI Match Summary
Raith host Dunfermline in the Championship. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: Raith at 1.57 goals for, 1.03 against; Dunfermline at 1.3 for, 0.97 against. Head-to-head, Raith have won 1 to Dunfermline's 4, with 0 draws. They last met on Aug 28, 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 1.38 vs 0.81, favoring Raith. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Raith have won more games recently than Dunfermline.
- 39% — that's where the model lands on Raith taking it.
- European nights carry their own weight — this Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Dunfermline have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Raith | Dunfermline |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 33 |
| Wins | 16 | 15 |
| Draws | 4 | 8 |
| Losses | 10 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.57 | 1.3 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.03 | 0.97 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 0.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Raith's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Raith stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Dunfermline let in goals in 55% of their last 33 matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Raith
(Home)Dunfermline
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stenhousemuir | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 12:4 | 22 |
| 2 | Raith | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 15:6 | 20 |
| 3 | Partick | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 10:3 | 18 |
| 4 | Livingston | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 14:11 | 13 |
| 5 | Dunfermline | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 7:5 | 13 |
| 6 | Inverness | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12:11 | 13 |
| 7 | Ayr | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10:11 | 12 |
| 8 | Arbroath | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 7:15 | 11 |
| 9 | Queen's Park | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 6:16 | 7 |
| 10 | Morton | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7:18 | 4 |
